Heisenberg
Stock Chartist, Long/Short Ideas
Palantir should see a positive stock reaction to its earnings report. Michael Burry recently covered a big chunk of his Palantir short, Microsoft performed well after its report last week, and software stocks, where Palantir is among the top holdings of the IGV fund, are turning around. x.comÂ
Continued improvement in fundamentals and technicals could carry Palantir to megacap scale. A $1 trillion market cap is a realistic destination for strong growth companies, and Palantir appears on that path, though its timing is uncertain. Drawdowns remain opportunities to accumulate until the thesis changes. x.comÂ
Palantir already shows companies returns on AI as they shift from testing it to demanding results. JPMorgan's $262 target is about 32% above the current price; the multi-model signal is Long, with three of four models agreeing ahead of Monday's earnings. x.comÂ
Palantir looks stretched again, back at about 69 times sales. Michael Burry added March 2027 Palantir puts after covering half his shorts near $107. A further run to $187-$198 would be the better level to lean bearish, and with software stocks running hot for two weeks, the whole trade may top out for a breather. x.com x.comÂ
Palantir's government contract activity is growing sharply, supporting its resilience despite the share-price pullback. Its $2.1 billion in 12-month obligations is up 184% from the prior year, among the strongest increases tracked. The Cryptic Bottom Index remains green despite the pullback. Its score is among the highest in the Cryptic Research System, led by growth and profitability, though catalysts and valuation score weakest. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Palantir's very bullish large customer options flow last week left big footprints ahead of a big earnings beat. If it holds $138 weekly support, $161.40 comes into view. x.com x.comÂ
Palantir's roughly $500B market cap and 80x sales make it prudent to trim exposure despite continued affection for the company. Its tenfold run has already delivered substantial gains, not just the beginning; smaller speculative positions are getting crushed in this environment. x.com x.comÂ
Palantir in the $130s is likely one of the best buying opportunities of the next several years. It is extremely profitable with strong fundamentals, and its products make other businesses more efficient, which merits a premium. Its 20-year ontology and AIP, which makes generative AI enterprise-ready and operational, drive commercial and government growth. This year's weak performance is healthy, and the longer the base, the bigger the breakout. x.comÂ
Palantir's government and commercial AI demand keeps compounding. Holding through volatility still calls for careful sizing: a 590% gain can turn into a 50% drawdown fast. x.com x.comÂ
Palantir's share price demands unusually fast cash and profit growth despite its strong business. At roughly $210, it implies 48.5% annual growth for five years; at 32% annual growth, the shares would be worth $96.64. It is a Watch, not a Buy at today's prices. Q2 sales rose 93% and cash flow after employee stock pay was $2.52 billion over 12 months, but government concentration, cancellable contracts and rising stock pay remain risks. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Palantir has launched after a massive beat across the board and a sharp guidance raise. Revenue was $1.94B versus $1.81B expected and EPS $0.41 versus $0.35. FY26 revenue guidance rose to $8.16B versus $7.73B expected, and operating income guidance to $4.9B versus $4.5B. x.com x.comÂ
