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Coinvo Trading

Full-Time Trader, Public Trade Commentary

21 Aug, 19:00Latest

Japanese and South Korean stocks sit directly on top of the crowded AI trade, which is unwinding as global bond yields head toward multi-decade highs and oil tops $90. That mix of higher inflation and borrowing costs undercuts valuations of the most expensive growth stocks. Japan's Nikkei fell 3.2% and Korea's KOSPI more than 6%, triggering trading curbs, as Samsung, SK hynix, Kioxia and SoftBank fell 8-13%. If oil and yields stay high, Asia may be where the pressure breaks through first. x.com

EWY

EWJ

ALLINCRYPTO

Technical Crypto Analyst, Allincrypto YouTube/Podcast Creator

20 Jul

EWY

Korean equities are correcting like an altcoin after moving like one, going from euphoria to a bear market in barely a month. A rush of new investors, leverage and AI-chip hype drove the KOSPI up too fast, and much of the drop is that excess being flushed out, with war fears and rising oil adding pressure. x.com

Temple 8 Research

AI Buildout, Macro & Energy Infrastructure Research

29 Oct

EWY

The PCE release will knock the bottom out of the KOSPI. The index already looks about to erase yesterday's gains. x.com

Rand Group

Crypto Trader & Investor, Building RR2 Capital, Early-Stage Investing

22 Oct

EWY

Korean equities have a central role in the AI trade because Samsung and SK hynix supply most of the memory it needs. Despite the shakeout, the KOSPI leads the major markets shown at roughly +36% this year. The bullish lean faces a flow warning: Korean semiconductor ETF 20-day flows fell from nearly +$4B in June to about -$703M by October 18 as the index approaches rising support. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com

Nic Puckrin

Co-Founder & CEO of Coin Bureau

16 Oct

EWY

Retail leverage and AI concentration have fueled the Korean equities rout. The KOSPI fell more than 14% in a week, its worst weekly decline since 2008. Korean equities will fall further if the rout in SK hynix and Samsung continues, though some dip buyers may already be lining up. x.com x.com

GregTheAnalyst

Independent Investor, Macro/Micro & Technical Analysis

19 Jun

EWJ

Japanese equities face an eventual collapse as decades of QE and similar tools, which masked demographic-driven productivity decline, come due through currency and bond collapses, with Japan first because it used them first. Per @puckrin, the yen is at its weakest since 2024 even after a hike to 1%, the highest since 1995, as carry trades into US assets persist despite $73bn of intervention. A faster drop in Japanese government bond values should cap the Nikkei. x.com x.com

Patient Investor

Real Estate Developer, Public & Private Equity Investor Since 2016

24 Jun

EWY

Korean equities' 2026 crashes were forced-liquidation flushes, not a broken thesis, and memory earnings and exports will carry KOSPI back up. All four circuit-breaker days came from external or technical shocks, a war-driven oil spike, a crowded AI unwind and foreign outflows, amplified by record retail margin debt above 38tn won; none came from Korean earnings breaking. SK Hynix just posted record revenue at a 72% operating margin. The real risk is the memory cycle itself rolling over. x.com

SwingTrader

Stock & Bond Market Commentary

16 Jul

EWY

Korean equities and memory chip stocks are not done selling after South Korea hiked rates today. x.com

Namzes Cycles

Hurst Cycle & Technical Analyst, Commodities/Crypto/Equity Indices, Risk Management Background

30 Jul

EWY

Korean equities' bigger picture is concerning because breadth has collapsed, with the KOSPI held up only by two stocks that make up half the index. The KOSDAQ has erased all its gains since April 2025 and trades near six-year lows, while the KOSPI is down 46% in six weeks after twice testing its 200-day average. A short-term bounce of about 20% to fill this week's gap is possible. x.com

BankofVol Grift

Publisher of Bank of Volatility, AI/ML Trading Bots

13 Aug

EWY

Korean equities' July leverage-driven flush increasingly looks like exhaustion, not a failed AI thesis. The KOSPI rose 3.56% to 6,813, back in bull-market territory more than 20% above its July low, with Samsung up over 5% and SK hynix nearly 8% on reported sovereign-wealth interest and reaccelerating global AI capex. Korean semiconductor exports are running up 155% year over year in early August. x.com

Master of Crypto

Crypto Market Intelligence Publisher

3 Aug

EWJ

Japanese stocks face more selling if the Bank of Japan steps in to support the yen, because a stronger yen hurts the country's exporters. Topix fell 1.3% today on those worries. The last time this happened, Korea's KOSPI hit its eighth circuit breaker of 2026 and the Nikkei lost over 2,600 points. The yen is the key thing to watch. x.com

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