A breadth thrust and fresh buying point to at least a multi-week rise in US indices, most probably a big rally for a few months after the midterms. LS Breadth is flipping bullish as the bear count falls; more stocks are starting uptrends and first consolidations. The Nasdaq 100 is bouncing with strong breadth, and the S&P 500 looks ready to leave a massive base. The Nasdaq 100 could sell off at declining averages but should rise if broad selling does not return. x.com 

Rising S&P earnings revisions and a Nasdaq valuation far below the 2000 bubble level argue against a bull trap in US large caps. Nasdaq trades at 18x forward earnings versus over 80x in 2000. Positive breadth divergences, record short ETF exposure and put volume, and semiconductors waking up add to the case. In all 19 post-midterm instances cited, markets were very green over the following 12 months. x.com  x.com 

The Nasdaq 100 faces short-term downside because a failed push to a new high leaves crowded bullish sentiment vulnerable to a break below. Despite record institutional accumulation and a long-term bullish position, five months of chop, a failed ATH and an attempted loss of the bullish trend favor hedging rather than adding leverage. x.com  x.com 

The Nasdaq has likely bottomed or is very close, with the bull market intact on fundamentals. Its RSI hit 30, a sign of seller exhaustion, and most AI infrastructure stocks near that level are buys. JPMorgan says Korea's leverage unwind is complete, and Wednesday's largest retail selloff since the March 2020 crash marked capitulation. Earnings keep crushing, with capex rising and insatiable compute demand per Mark Zuckerberg and Microsoft. Summer chop for a few weeks would not be surprising. … Show more

The AI supercycle is backed by real profit growth, not a bubble. Nasdaq-100 earnings-per-share growth just crossed 50%, faster than the post-GFC rebound and every expansion cycle of the last two decades, with revenue growth rising alongside it. Bubbles are built on multiple expansion and nonexistent earnings; this is an acceleration in real cash flow. x.com 

Forward risks matter more than good earnings for the Nasdaq now. The index looks to be topping and has a good shot at 28,000 before a rally after the midterms; tomorrow's PCE and GDP releases are unlikely to help, and this week's lows could break. x.com  x.com 

Bubbles rarely end when expected and tend to run much further, so the Nasdaq looks to be in a shakeout rather than at the end of its advance. Nasdaq at 40,000 or 50,000 is not out of the question in a melt-up; those who buy this dip will be greatly rewarded if positioned correctly. x.com  x.com 

The Nasdaq 100's Friday flush was a positioning shakeout, not the AI thesis breaking, and the uptrend underneath remains. A hot jobs print of 172K against 80K expected lifted Fed hike odds and repriced growth, giving the index its worst day since April 2025, down 4.8% with semiconductors down 9%. By Monday pre-market the same leaders were up 4–9%. Dips in an uptrend get bought, but the Fed path is still the swing factor, so expect more two-way chop. x.com  x.com 

The Nasdaq 100 has a good chance of topping before year-end this year, breaking a streak that has held every year since 2022, because semiconductors are at a major top. Even after two 10% corrections in the index since June, everyone still wants to buy tech. x.com  x.com  x.com 

The Nasdaq-100 looks like a good buy here. x.com