Robotics stocks may follow memory's path, a gradual build into an aggressive rally. Micron, which likely knows where compute demand is heading, launched a $250M fund for the next-gen AI stack, including physical AI. Unitree's China IPO, possibly next Monday at $9B and above $40B on pre-IPO perps, might spark a rally in less-run US-listed names; humanoid robotics still looks bullish on higher timeframes. This year's IPOs, such as Cerebras and SpaceX, weighed on proxies after, so expect swings. … Show more

Physical AI's reliance on semiconductors across its technology layers could make it the next theme to drive another rally in semiconductor stocks. Micron recently echoed this view. There is still much to learn about the field. x.com 

Micron is favored over Tesla because humanoid robots like Optimus will need large amounts of HBM memory before Tesla's robot army pays off. Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra just said humanoid robots carry 10 times the memory of an average L2+ vehicle and expects a sustained multi-decade memory demand cycle to begin late this decade. Tesla stays out of favor for a while: its valuation is stretched, EV competition is heavy, and Optimus needs to be seen in the wild and in scalable production first. x.com  … Show more

Each new AI wave is lifting demand across Micron's HBM, DRAM and storage products. Micron said training, inference, agentic AI and physical AI raise memory needs; the stock still trades at about 5x next-twelve-month earnings, leaving its growth story just getting started. x.com 

A sharply higher humanoid shipment forecast supports robotics suppliers even as sentiment struggles. JPMorgan now sees 1.8 million units by 2030, about 152% CAGR. Ouster offers broad perception exposure through Rev8, Stereolabs and software; Harmonic Drive makes rotary actuators, Regal Rexnord frameless torque motors and linear actuators, VPG force/torque sensors for joints and grippers, and One Stop Systems rugged edge AI compute for field robots. x.com 

Micron is the obvious AI play now, much as Nvidia was in hindsight, because every AI GPU is limited by memory and there is no scaling without it. The market does not yet understand how big HBM demand could get. x.com 

Micron benefits because AI needs more memory capacity and bandwidth. HBM growth and customer commitments support that view, while pricing and returns on new capacity will determine how durable it is. x.com 

Micron is still firing on all cylinders after fiscal Q4, and its uptrend is not over, though whether memory is cyclical or structural is unresolved and the lean toward structural is loosely held. Core data center is now 33% of revenue, and next quarter brings more growth at an 86.25% gross margin management sees as the fiscal 2027 floor. Physical AI could be the next TAM. Strategic customer agreements should exceed 35% of revenue through 2030, improving visibility. x.com  x.com 

Micron can't meet customer demand, giving it rare visibility at a valuation of about 5x next year's earnings. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said customers are extending agreements into 2031, which gives certainty of demand and lets Micron plan capacity investments with confidence. The stock is now about $1,000, and with potential EPS beats over the next few quarters its forward P/E could be around 5, unthinkable about six months ago. x.com  x.com 

The labor-shortage case for robots is easy, but BOTZ and ROBO are the wrong way to own it, while humanoid pure plays KOID and HUMN hold it directly. Rich countries are running out of workers, so demand is a demographic fact, and the market is forecast to grow from $153B to $365B by 2030 on that alone. BOTZ and ROBO have lagged the S&P since launch, and BOTZ is mostly Nvidia and Japanese industrials, half outside actual robots. ARKQ gets there through Tesla, if you trust the driver. x.com