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Rand Group

Crypto Trader & Investor, Building RR2 Capital, Early-Stage Investing

9 Jul, 10:59Latest

The labor-shortage case for robots is easy, but BOTZ and ROBO are the wrong way to own it, while humanoid pure plays KOID and HUMN hold it directly. Rich countries are running out of workers, so demand is a demographic fact, and the market is forecast to grow from $153B to $365B by 2030 on that alone. BOTZ and ROBO have lagged the S&P since launch, and BOTZ is mostly Nvidia and Japanese industrials, half outside actual robots. ARKQ gets there through Tesla, if you trust the driver. x.com

8 Jul, 11:26

The AI trade's pricing power has moved from chips to memory and lithography, so the broad semiconductor index is the risky holding. Memory demand for AI went vertical while supply stays fixed for years, and server memory contract prices roughly doubled in a quarter, favouring Micron, Sandisk, Western Digital, Seagate, Samsung, SK hynix and Kioxia; the risk is everyone adding capacity. ASML holds the EUV monopoly. The index rests on consensus, which reprices fastest if AI capex blinks. x.com x.com x.com

TSM

WDC

STX

GLW

AMAT

LRCX

SMH

EUV

Paradis

AI & Technology Investment Research

13 Apr

ROBO

BOTZ

It is far too early to invest in robotics, and ETFs such as BOTZ and ROBO are marketing wrappers full of legacy industrial firms and unprofitable startups. Teradyne's robotics segment brought in only $89M and cut 400 jobs, while ABB is spinning off its 12%-margin robotics unit. Humanoids still cost over $200k versus the $50-75k needed for mass use, a level projected for 2050. AI infrastructure spending is crowding out robotics capex; the alpha lies in the AI supply chain. x.com x.com

Stock/Options Trader, Volume at Support/Resistance, Publisher of Volume Stocks Newsletter

3 Oct

BOT

RoboStrategy gives retail investors pre-IPO exposure to leading US humanoid robot makers, and its chart is coiled for a breakout. CEO Andrew Kang named Tesla Optimus, Figure AI and Apptronik his top three American humanoid plays from 112 startups; Figure AI and Apptronik are among its largest disclosed holdings. He cited Figure 03 robots sorting a quarter-million packages over 200 hours without a major glitch. Price has squeezed into a symmetrical triangle since July, with $29.50 as the trigger. … Show more

Matt Allen

Founder & CEO of Bean Research/BeanWealth, Growth Stocks

26 Oct

SMH

AI spending makes Defiance AI Infrastructure the simplest way to own chips, cooling and power. Roundhill Memory alone holds makers for a shortage expected into 2028. VanEck Semiconductor is the broadest chip fund and a core long-term AI holding. Global X Robotics & AI owns factory and hospital automation sellers now. ARK Autonomous Tech covers autonomy but is the most aggressive, volatile pick. Roundhill Neocloud is the list's only rental fund and most direct way to own AI compute demand. x.com … Show more

TacticzHazel

Energy-Market Analyst, Long-Term Fundamental Investing

29 Jun

Physical AI and robotics could be the next supercycle as AI breaks out of the screen to act in the real world, a shift already under way. Robots can now handle situations they were not programmed for, thanks to camera-based models that understand surroundings, cheaper simulation training, and better sensors, motors and batteries. Morgan Stanley sees the humanoid market passing $5T by 2050, Citi up to $7T. Robots still trail humans in messy settings and dexterity, so factories lead. x.com x.com

Futurist

Photonics, Space, AI Infrastructure & Robotics Commentary

23 Sep

VPG

ENS

TER

RRX

SNDK

MPWR

AME

STM

RBC

TXN

Robotics could be one of the biggest investing themes of the next decade, so the opportunity lies in connecting the dots across its ecosystem early. Morgan Stanley estimates the humanoid market could reach $5T by 2050, with nearly 1 billion robots in use. The chain runs from robot makers such as Tesla and Agility Robotics to AI chips from Nvidia and Qualcomm, memory, sensors, edge AI, precision motion and joints, power electronics, batteries, rare-earth magnets and industrial robotics. x.com

LongGameEquity

Long-Term Investor, AI & Software

28 Sep

SYM

TER

ROK

HON

Robotics may be AI's next frontier, and the bigger opportunity may be everything that makes robots move, not just humanoids. Deploying millions of robots needs motors, sensors, vision, motion control and factory, warehouse and surgical automation. The picks and shovels include Amazon and Symbotic in warehouses, Teradyne, ABB and Fanuc in industrial robots, Rockwell, Honeywell and Parker Hannifin in automation and motion, Cognex, Ouster, Zebra, Intuitive Surgical, Serve and UiPath. x.com

Marcos Milla

Former Analyst at the Federal Reserve, ETF/Stock Newsletter Author

4 Oct

HUMN

Micron reportedly seeing future opportunities in humanoid robots is very bullish for the HUMN humanoid robotics ETF. x.com

Wayne Liang

Asymmetric Investment Research, Trade Alerts & Toolkits

14 Aug

HUMN

Robotics stocks may follow memory's path, a gradual build into an aggressive rally. Micron, which likely knows where compute demand is heading, launched a $250M fund for the next-gen AI stack, including physical AI. Unitree's China IPO, possibly next Monday at $9B and above $40B on pre-IPO perps, might spark a rally in less-run US-listed names; humanoid robotics still looks bullish on higher timeframes. This year's IPOs, such as Cerebras and SpaceX, weighed on proxies after, so expect swings. … Show more

Matt Allen

Founder & CEO of Bean Research/BeanWealth, Growth Stocks

2 Sep

TSLA

Tesla stands to benefit from a robotics market growing much faster than skeptics assume. Goldman Sachs sees the robotics addressable market rising 2,000% by 2035, and adoption should come well before 2050. Humanoids need not beat only a worker's wage, since the full cost of a human includes benefits, insurance and workers' compensation. x.com x.com x.com

Frank Curzio

Founder & CEO of Curzio Research, Wall Street Unplugged Host

2 Sep

AME

Robotics is the next leg of AI, and its component suppliers can benefit as the buildout scales. Elon Musk expects at least a billion robots in 10 years; Morgan Stanley sees a $5 trillion market by 2050. Tesla can build Optimus at million-unit scale. Ouster's LiDAR revenue rose 56% to $55M; Intuitive Surgical's procedures grew 16%; NXP is reportedly in talks to buy Ambarella for about $3.3B; Cognex posted a record $291M quarter, up 17%; AMETEK supplies motors, actuators and sensors. x.com x.com … Show more

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