Burak Finance
Head of Analytics, Growth Investor, PLTR/NBIS/RKLB
QuantumScape is a highly speculative bet that this week's 13F filings reveal hedge funds loading up, after Renaissance, Vanguard and BlackRock raised stakes in Q4. It trades at a $5B valuation with $1B of cash and 20% short interest, as volume and call open interest climb. A solid-state battery leader with patents, it has expanded beyond EVs to AI data centers and defense and switched to licensing. The risk: solid-state batteries have been "almost here" for 5+ years and remain at pilot scale. … Show more
QuantumScape's diversification into data-center energy storage supports accumulating now, ahead of a likely 2027 takeoff. It introduced the QS PowerBlock for AI data centers, claiming 4x the power density and 5x the runtime of current industry standards. The stock keeps getting pummeled along with most high-beta names, but its time will come. x.comÂ
QuantumScape has enormous potential but still a lot to prove, and at a $5B market cap much of the hype is priced in. It never retested $5 and powered through expected resistance near $7.80, so it is a pass for now, despite real long-term potential if the company executes. x.comÂ
QuantumScape's chart is coiling into a tight wedge, with consolidation nearly complete and $5.00 acting as a local bottom. That level has been strong support on the longer chart, apart from mid-2025. The gamma map shows a $6 ceiling for the next four weeks, while most options sit around $7 for calls and $5.50 for puts, setting up a potential opportunity. QuantumScape itself is pushing its solid-state technology beyond autos into aviation, robotics and defense, which it pegs as a $75B market. … Show more
QuantumScape has a second growth leg the market is not pricing: battery-in-rack backup for AI data centers. Its non-combustible ceramic separator lets cells sit inside server racks, buffering millisecond power spikes faster than external UPS systems as racks pass 100 kW. In EVs, Honda signed a development deal after validating hardware. A hyperscaler design win would re-rate it as AI infrastructure. It has $904M of liquidity, but is pre-revenue and depends on scaling its Cobra process reliably. … Show more
QuantumScape is less attractive than Tempus AI because it is still pre-commercial and burning a lot of cash. x.comÂ
QuantumScape may be ready for another bull wave after significant news involving Honda. Honda has already shown success with its own solid-state batteries, so the development cannot be ignored. @DocPod4, whom the author agrees with, says one contract could double the stock and that AI data centers or defense drones could also become customers. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Hard-hit small caps such as Upstart, Robinhood, IonQ, IREN, AST SpaceMobile, Coinbase and QuantumScape are worth adding in March-April 2026 as the Iran war nears its end. Upstart is down 93% in capitulation, Robinhood sits near IPO base support, IonQ at early-cycle support, IREN at Bitcoin-cycle support, AST in a pre-rally accumulation zone, Coinbase on the crypto cycle and QuantumScape near a SPAC bottom. How the war ends matters more than when. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
QuantumScape is a poor business, with heavy dilution and self-enriching executives, a clear sign that executive pay is the only way left to make money in a high-capex, low-margin battery business. x.comÂ
Quantum computing stocks D-Wave and IonQ show strong demand after the US pledged funding, with large high-volume buying in D-Wave. D-Wave has clear relative strength in the sector, with IonQ leading the charge. A move above $31.55 would break D-Wave out of its inside week and daily consolidation, and its all-time high could be broken fast. x.comÂ