Flow God
Options-Flow Commentary
The Roundhill Memory ETF's uptrend remains intact: a two-month base gave way to higher highs and higher lows, matched by steady whale accumulation now at 58.21%. Support sits at $54, $57 and the $60 zone, with near-term resistance at $64 and the $70 zone. Clearing one of the longer momentum bars has historically been a reasonable point to buy or add on the way up. x.com
Micron beating earnings with accelerating revenue growth is the most bullish possible signal for the Roundhill Memory ETF. x.com
Memory stocks look set to sell the news of SK hynix's US listing, with massive head-and-shoulders tops forming across memory names, which hits Micron, SanDisk and memory exposure broadly. The US listing traded at a premium to SK hynix's Korean shares, a gap likely to reconcile quickly. There are reports of significant liquidations and margin calls in Korea, and the KOSPI hit its 100-day moving average for the first time since April 2025. It is almost time to go heavy into memory longs again. … Show more
The Roundhill Memory ETF looks attractive because its largest daily buy volume in nearly two months extends the earlier accumulation sequence. Sellers may still have momentum; the bull case would be a large lower wick holding $60 into year-end. Calls to bet on it are extremely cheap. x.com
The Roundhill Memory ETF is set up for a gap fill higher as momentum returns to memory, backed by blowout earnings from its holdings. It bounced off 200 EMA support near $44 and consolidates around $50.60, with unfilled gaps at $57, $64 and $72; dealer positioning into August options expiry points to a $60–65 target. Micron posted record Q3 revenue of $41.46B and guided to $50B, SK hynix's revenue rose 257% with a 76% operating margin, and Samsung posted a record Q2 operating profit. x.com x.com … Show more
The memory ETF is not worth buying yet, because it is essentially just the KOSPI plus Micron and more forced selling is likely in Korea. x.com
SK hynix's five-year agreements with 14 major customers cover more than half its 2027-28 capacity, giving its memory earnings unusually long visibility. DRAM prices rose 28% and NAND 25% in the quarter, while operating profit reached 62.8 billion against 58.5 billion expected; Q4 DRAM shipments are guided up 25% from Q3. Those commitments support the view that demand is not peaking yet. Overweight, $400 target. x.com
Rising memory contract prices strengthen the case for memory stocks still far below their highs. JPMorgan forecasts Q4 DRAM prices up 13% and NAND up 18%; Micron is 28% below its 52-week high, Seagate 44%, Sandisk 47% and Western Digital 55%. x.com
Memory stocks may be at a local top, because the launch of a new 2x leveraged ETF on a sector, such as RAM tracking the Roundhill Memory ETF, has had an uncanny ability to mark local tops. x.com
Memory's options flow shows traders underwriting downside rather than chasing upside, with millions in put selling on the Roundhill Memory ETF across August and October expiries. AI demand keeps moving through the physical stack, from DRAM and HBM to bandwidth, power and cooling, and following that bottleneck leads to memory. x.com