Crude oil should fall back into the $60s and likely well below over time once the Iran war is resolved. Middle East producers are overproducing but cannot export the barrels, so when the Strait fully reopens they will flood the market. Oil tried to break down from its trend line but was rejected, and bigger resolution news is likely needed to push it much lower. Cheaper oil would remove current inflation fears, setting up a deflationary boom. x.com  x.com 

Oil prices should drop further as the Iran conflict winds down, which will likely make the Fed more dovish. x.com 

An imminent Israeli strike on Iran puts Gulf oil infrastructure at unusually high risk over the next three months, supporting a near-term rise in crude oil. Large trades are betting on oil reaching $115 again. x.com 

More oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz and continued OPEC and Russian production should push crude oil lower. It has fallen from about $106 to $96 over the past month. x.com 

Crude oil looks set to fall off a cliff because the chart signals that the Strait of Hormuz will soon reopen and the Iranian regime will become irrelevant. x.com 

Crude oil is headed to $100 a barrel as Iran signals lasting disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's parliament speaker Ghalibaf said the strait will not return to pre-war conditions, warning that where Iran does not sell oil, no one will sell oil. x.com  x.com 

Oil's slide from $120 during the war to $79 should continue as the US-Iran deal, due to be signed on the 19th in Switzerland, reopens the Strait of Hormuz and ends the US naval blockade, restoring choked supply. Cheaper oil lowers US inflation and flips the market from expecting another hike toward rate cuts, lifting risk assets. The deal is only a 60-day MOU, though, and Israel is the problem: if anything blows up, oil rips and the chain runs in reverse. x.com 

Oil should fall into the $60s as Iranian oil comes back online following the Iran news, which makes BofA's call for three rate hikes this year look foolish. With Warsh essentially confirming no action until winter, the backdrop is very bullish for markets, though rates have not yet dropped alongside oil as expected. x.com 

Crude oil is heading toward $100 as US-Iran tensions escalate. Higher oil and higher yields both pressure stocks, and a low VIX means nobody is paying for protection, not that risk is low. x.com 

Crude oil looks headed lower as tanker traffic through the strait nears pre-war levels and Trump makes cheaper oil a priority. Per CNN via @Osint613, the U.S. moved 40 tankers carrying about 18 million barrels through the strait on Tuesday, a daily record since the war began and only slightly below the pre-war 20 million. Once the Iran saga is over, oil will probably be cheaper than before the war. x.com  x.com