Hudson Pacific Properties is a levered play on AI companies, with tech office space at a clear inflection. Higher prices and occupancy are coming. x.comÂ
Aggressive Value
Deep-Value & Asymmetric Investor, 25 Years in Markets
The S&P 500's concentrated, correlated AI exposure makes a large allocation too risky as rates rise. Higher rates could force data-center bondholders to sell AI equities; early AI use appears to be stagnating and unclear ROI may cap demand even if usage grows linearly. Failed lab IPOs or a credit-driven recession could also undermine the market. AI moving on-device or on-premise is another significant risk to data-center capacity demand. x.com x.comÂ
Applied Digital's AI and high-performance computing data centers could expand substantially as demand grows. It is a high-risk upside bet: construction costs, financing needs and dependence on large customers could impede that expansion. x.comÂ
Applied Digital is set to benefit as hyperscaler capex commitments jumped from about $400 billion to nearly $700 billion in 90 days. It holds about $16 billion in contracted lease revenue, has three sites in exclusivity and expects new leases soon. Q3 revenue rose 139% to $126.6 million, crushing the $75.5 million consensus. CoreWeave upgraded its lease terms, which should lower refinancing costs, and management bonuses are tied to a goal of $1 billion in annual profit. x.comÂ
Digital Realty's $3.5 billion Blackstone data center stake deal monetizes hyperscale capacity at peak demand rather than diluting shareholders, so the market's 5% selloff on the news is wrong. The AI power infrastructure trade remains structurally underowned. x.comÂ
Hut 8 is turning from a bitcoin miner into an AI data center operator with long-term contracted revenue, built on controlling low-cost power and developing its own facilities. On May 6 it signed a 15-year, 352 MW Beacon Point lease with an investment-grade tenant, worth $9.8 billion take-or-pay and up to $25.1 billion with renewals. That lifts contracted AI capacity to 597 MW and base contract value to about $16.8 billion across River Bend and Beacon Point, with gigawatt-scale expansion planned. … Show more
WhiteFiber is tied to AI infrastructure growth through strong demand for high-density data-center capacity. It has a major long-term colocation deal worth about $865 million, and rising institutional ownership shows more institutions building positions. The stock still has room to be discovered. x.comÂ
Highwoods Properties is the favorite office REIT because new office supply has dried up, making its prime Sun Belt buildings scarcer and giving it pricing power. It signed over 1mm square feet of second-generation leases in Q2 with GAAP spreads above 20%, and occupancy rose 70 basis points. Debt-to-EBITDA fell to 6.2x, and it was the only office REIT not to cut its dividend in the GFC. Consensus 12% growth in 2027 plus a 6.4% yield implies about 20% total returns with no multiple expansion. … Show more
CoStar Group looks too cheap for its growth, expanding margins and network-effect assets. Its unique data network and marketplaces have durable network effects, and it could lead in agentic real-estate tech, with Homes AI an early look. If earnings compound over 20% organically for three years, below consensus, a high-teens to 20x 2027 P/E is probably too cheap. Q1 EBITDA more than doubled on lower personnel costs and AI efficiencies, and residential should turn profitable in Q2. x.com x.com … Show more
Hut 8's new Beacon Point lease ranks among the best ever signed by any data center developer. Per Hut 8, the second 352 MW lease doubles a high-investment-grade tenant's capacity to 704 MW and brings 15-year base-term contract value to $19.6B. The triple-net structure means a 100% NOI margin, about $1.86M of average annual NOI per MW with a 3% escalator, against $9-11M per MW of build cost, roughly a 15% yield on cost. x.comÂ