indie Semiconductor warrants skepticism because it loses about $40M on $60M of revenue and has basically always operated that way. x.com 

Indie Semiconductor is expensive against its earnings at 36x forward earnings, while chipmakers usually get about 18x. Fair value sits around $1.31-1.66, or 18x next year's $0.08 EPS, so at $2.97 buyers pay about 78% over fair, and the valuation leans on a forecast 61% above trailing earnings. This read rests on valuation levels from reported earnings and estimates only. x.com 

indie Semiconductor is one of the best high-beta semiconductor names still on sale, so it should eventually go ballistic if the broader semiconductor market does again. x.com 

Semiconductors are more likely to go up than down from here at current valuations, since 2028 is probably a 20-30% capex growth year. AI capabilities and model revenue are ramping at an unprecedented pace and chip spending drives earnings growth for the whole market, while multiples stay reasonable on cyclical fears. The risk: model revenue added about $170 billion in 2026 against $780 billion of capex, and if capex flattens after an expected $1.1 trillion in 2027, multiples may stay low. x.com 

Semiconductors will be much higher in 12 months if the market's real doubt is whether this cycle lasts another year. The cycle feels like the bottom of the third inning while the market prices a seventh-inning stretch, which is why so many chip names look like must-owns at these valuations. In order of preference: Nvidia, Credo, Astera Labs, Lumentum, Broadcom, TSMC, Coherent, Marvell, then SK hynix and Micron. x.com 

indie Semiconductor is a $4 ticket to cars becoming computers on wheels. It makes automotive chips for driver assistance and autonomy, revenue grew 24% last quarter, and its radar and vision business is expanding. It also just launched an edge AI chip for smart cameras. x.com 

AI semiconductor stocks are falling because valuations priced in too much growth beyond 2026-27, not because fundamentals are worsening. With the sector ETF up more than 100% year to date at one point, Q2 earnings couldn't meet those expectations, and a crowded trade is deleveraging as everyone races for the same exit. Fundamentals are likely improving, so as positioning and valuation reset the trade can continue, but selectively. x.com 

Semiconductors look to be topping and should resolve lower into September, as the market prices in slowing capex in 2027. Strong earnings beats look in the rearview mirror; if Q2 was near peak, big beats are expected, and record backlogs are typical at peak demand and can be cut fast once spending slows. The semiconductor ETF has completed its upside correction and is losing steam, with new lows likely by September, which would weigh on a Nasdaq expected to slip toward its 200-day average. x.com  … Show more

indie Semiconductor is one of the best and least-discussed ways to invest in humanoid robots, because its automotive-proven chips give it a head start. Robots need the multi-camera processing, low power and reliability cars need, and some of the biggest humanoid makers already use indie's products. With the FCC blocking new foreign-built robots, its auto-qualified parts from Swiss and Canadian factories suit Western makers. A $7.4B auto backlog leaves robotics unvalued. x.com 

The AI hardware cycle is far from over because orders at NVIDIA, Broadcom and Dell are still accelerating and the industry is booked out to 2028; supply, not demand, is the constraint. NVIDIA's Q2 revenue rose 106% to $96.2B, and it expects about 70% growth in fiscal 2028 despite wafer, packaging, HBM and power limits. Broadcom guides AI chip revenue to $115B in 2027 and $230B in 2028, and Dell's AI server backlog is $95B. GPUs and custom ASICs are expanding together. x.com