Joe
Full-Time Trader/Investor, Semiconductor & AI Infrastructure Inflection Points
Ramaco Resources offers coal and rare earth exposure in a war that is lifting both, after being beaten down from 57 to 13 with huge short interest. Coal prices are spiking and the coal sector is at all-time highs, with structural changes in energy markets, including natural gas capacity lost to strikes in Qatar and Iran, adding commodity upside. Its rare earths are needed to replenish military stockpiles spent in the conflict. x.com x.comÂ
Ramaco Resources has about 3x upside to its $46 consensus price target from roughly $15, backed by a major rare-earth deposit and direct US government support. DOE's NETL called it the largest unconventional REE deposit in North America, the Administration asked Ramaco to accelerate Brook Mine production, and it has a five-year CRADA with DOE/NETL. Met coal expects a sixth straight year of production growth in 2026 at the lowest cash costs since 2021, and the pilot plant is due mid-2026. x.comÂ
Domestic rare-earth and critical-mineral supply chains will make this stock group a generational wealth builder this year. REalloys has Army negotiations and an EXIM letter of interest; USA Rare Earth is developing a mine-to-magnet chain; MP Materials is expanding into magnets; Energy Fuels processes rare earths; and Lithium Americas is advancing Thacker Pass with GM and DOE support. REalloys paid to be included in this list. x.com x.com x.comÂ
US rare-earth and critical-mineral stocks could benefit from up to $1.6B of US investment in a domestic supply chain, even as heavy rare-earth stocks crash. USA Rare Earth is building a US mine-to-magnet chain including dysprosium and terbium; MP Materials is expanding into heavy rare-earth separation, alloys and magnets; Energy Fuels is expanding US separation; Critical Metals is developing Greenland's Tanbreez; NioCorp and American Resources are building US critical-mineral projects. x.com … Show more
Rare earth magnets are the next big investment theme as the White House and Pentagon fund a US supply chain outside China, backing a bench of winners. The Pentagon took a 15% stake in MP Materials with a decade-long magnet price floor and committed about $258M to Lynas' Texas plant. USA Rare Earth is building a mine-to-magnet chain, Energy Fuels adds rare earth separation to its uranium mill, NioCorp has a Lockheed deal, IperionX has $47.1M of Pentagon backing, and Ramaco mines them from coal. … Show more
US government backing and China's roughly 90% control of the global heavy-metals and rare-earth market make USA Rare Earth an easy hold. Its projected 2030 revenue is $2.6 billion, and most stocks in the basket trade at 20-30x sales. It is especially an easy hold near the log 0.786 Fibonacci level, with weekly RSI at 30. x.comÂ
USA Rare Earth posted $1.75B of cash after a Q1 beat, and Pentagon capital at that scale points to a construction schedule rather than a research grant for its first US mine-to-magnet refinery. China processes 85% of global rare earths, and terbium and dysprosium, used in EV motors and missile guidance, are not mined or refined elsewhere at scale. MP Materials' Mountain Pass mine feeds upstream ore, and Energy Fuels re-rates if USA Rare Earth proves the refinery model works. x.comÂ
MP Materials, USA Rare Earth, Energy Fuels and American Resources should benefit as rare earths become vital to the coming robotics revolution and the US has a national security incentive to break China's stranglehold at every chokepoint from mining to magnets. If robotics demand explodes, margins should rise as revenue scales, then cash flow expands as buildout capex drops. MP and USA Rare Earth are nearing scaled commercialization in the early 2030s; a buy-and-hold into the next decade. x.com … Show more
Rare earths are a forgotten sector worth attention again, and USA Rare Earth is the preferred way to play it. The growing importance of critical minerals and their supply constraints will keep the theme relevant over the next several years. Rare earth stocks as a group look like they could be bottoming, with the daily RSI starting to flash a potential bullish divergence. x.com x.comÂ
Ramaco's METCB tracking stock offers no merger upside, because any conversion back into METC shares would happen at the last 20 days' weighted average price, so holders can't even speculate on a merger without getting scammed. It is the icing on the cake of a scam run by fraudulent management. x.comÂ
USA Rare Earth's breakout has fundamental backing because a domestic rare earth supply chain is a White House priority and China export uncertainty keeps a bid under US names. It ended Q1 with $1.75 billion of cash after a $1.5 billion PIPE, commissioned Phase 1a magnet production at Stillwater, won $19.3 million of DOE funding and a $14.18 million Texas grant, and signed the Serra Verde acquisition. Analysts average a $36.57 target, up to $45, though timing is awkward after the recent run. … Show more
