Chris
Engineer & Entrepreneur, Equity/Crypto Swing Trader, Macro & Trade Setups
Rare earths are a forgotten sector worth attention again, and USA Rare Earth is the preferred way to play it. The growing importance of critical minerals and their supply constraints will keep the theme relevant over the next several years. Rare earth stocks as a group look like they could be bottoming, with the daily RSI starting to flash a potential bullish divergence. x.com x.comÂ
Rare earth and critical-mineral stocks look set for a run because Trump is practically spelling out where capital goes next. He says the US government is up over $30 billion since buying Intel stock in August 2025, and nobody wants to miss another government-backed move like Intel's. USA Rare Earth's chart looks ready to be chased hard rather than dump again, and MP Materials, Lithium Americas, Critical Metals, United States Antimony and Sigma Lithium are on deck too. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
US government backing and China's roughly 90% control of the global heavy-metals and rare-earth market make USA Rare Earth an easy hold. Its projected 2030 revenue is $2.6 billion, and most stocks in the basket trade at 20-30x sales. It is especially an easy hold near the log 0.786 Fibonacci level, with weekly RSI at 30. x.comÂ
Domestic rare-earth and critical-mineral supply chains will make this stock group a generational wealth builder this year. REalloys has Army negotiations and an EXIM letter of interest; USA Rare Earth is developing a mine-to-magnet chain; MP Materials is expanding into magnets; Energy Fuels processes rare earths; and Lithium Americas is advancing Thacker Pass with GM and DOE support. REalloys paid to be included in this list. x.com x.com x.comÂ
USA Rare Earth, Energy Fuels and MP Materials are a pass for now because whale accumulation on their weekly charts is gradually decreasing. They are not a favored setup yet. x.comÂ
USA Rare Earth and MP Materials are primed to take off as semiconductors cool, because they are the two rare-earth stocks the US government has invested in. The government's stake in Intel showed what such backing does to a stock, and the US needs rare earth minerals. Both are worth keeping on watch. x.comÂ
MP Materials, USA Rare Earth, Energy Fuels and American Resources should benefit as rare earths become vital to the coming robotics revolution and the US has a national security incentive to break China's stranglehold at every chokepoint from mining to magnets. If robotics demand explodes, margins should rise as revenue scales, then cash flow expands as buildout capex drops. MP and USA Rare Earth are nearing scaled commercialization in the early 2030s; a buy-and-hold into the next decade. x.com … Show more
USA Rare Earth's breakout has fundamental backing because a domestic rare earth supply chain is a White House priority and China export uncertainty keeps a bid under US names. It ended Q1 with $1.75 billion of cash after a $1.5 billion PIPE, commissioned Phase 1a magnet production at Stillwater, won $19.3 million of DOE funding and a $14.18 million Texas grant, and signed the Serra Verde acquisition. Analysts average a $36.57 target, up to $45, though timing is awkward after the recent run. … Show more
US rare-earth and critical-mineral stocks could benefit from up to $1.6B of US investment in a domestic supply chain, even as heavy rare-earth stocks crash. USA Rare Earth is building a US mine-to-magnet chain including dysprosium and terbium; MP Materials is expanding into heavy rare-earth separation, alloys and magnets; Energy Fuels is expanding US separation; Critical Metals is developing Greenland's Tanbreez; NioCorp and American Resources are building US critical-mineral projects. x.com … Show more
USA Rare Earth is the highest-upside way to play Trump's push for magnets. It targets heavy rare earths through a full-stack US supply chain, is a strategic government asset and reduces reliance on China. If it actually builds a domestic heavy rare earth and magnet supply chain, the upside could be insane. x.comÂ
USA Rare Earth's domestic production is becoming indispensable as the US and its allies build rare-earth supply chains independent of China. China controls most refining, separation, alloying and processing, and Western samarium-cobalt capacity, vital for fighter jets and missiles, is very limited. Governments will subsidize the buildout: in January 2026 the company signed a letter of intent with Commerce for a $1.6 billion package, giving the government equity. $17-20 is the buy zone. x.comÂ
USA Rare Earth's setup looks very strong, helped by a letter of intent for US government investment. Past US government investments, as in Intel, have led to really great moves. x.comÂ
