Adobe is a quality company trading at its lowest price-to-earnings multiple in five years. x.comÂ
Just a Dude Who Invests
Retail Investor, Economics & Technology Commentary
Adobe is a strong company hit harder than it should be, as the market treats a temporary slowdown as permanent decline. It fits the undervalued setup of a real moat, temporary rather than structural problems and extremely negative sentiment, where the price has fallen more than the fundamentals, lowering risk and raising upside. Great companies adapt and recover. x.comÂ
Adobe is a bit undervalued, though not significantly, at 13x earnings with 13% revenue growth. Its falling profit margin is concerning, and AI threats are growing as image generation improves. x.comÂ
Adobe is completely cooked: its low P/E is low for a reason, and there are plenty of better companies to buy. @StockSavvyShay notes that Anthropic's new Claude Design lets users create prototypes, slides and one-pagers by talking to Claude, pushing into territory associated with Figma and Adobe without requiring much design experience. x.comÂ
Adobe has fallen back to its 2018 share price even though revenue is roughly 3x and EPS roughly 5x higher since then. It runs 89% gross margins and has a $25B buyback program, about 30% of its current market cap. x.comÂ
Adobe is priced below its Covid-crash intraday low even though it now makes 3x more money with 20% fewer shares, and its best run of profit growth has come during the AI era. It beat last quarter's guidance and raised its full-year outlook, yet trades around 10x current, a low price for growth that should destroy the bear narrative. It also bought back 9.5M shares for over $2.3B. x.com x.comÂ
Adobe is not re-accelerating: management guides growth down to 9-10% with operating margins falling, and more pressure lies ahead. That makes buying every dip at about 16x earnings a mistake, even as @qualtrim points to 12% revenue growth and a 47.4% operating margin. x.com x.comÂ
Adobe trades at 2018 price levels even though revenue has grown nearly 200% since then, from $2.2B to $6.4B, and its $25B buyback on a $100B market cap amounts to a quarter of the company. The bottom may not be in yet, but the market won't ignore it forever. x.comÂ
Adobe looks undervalued, though less so than Meta, and its buyback adds appeal. As @AdrianGermanKo1 notes, it is cheaper on P/E with very large revenue, discounted because its future story is not viewed as good. x.comÂ
Adobe looks cheap only if stock-based compensation is ignored: its 7x 2026 P/E becomes 11x including SBC, as Intuit goes from 9x to 14x and Salesforce from 10x to 19x. Blindly ignoring those real economic costs to shareholders is partly why software was in a bubble. x.comÂ
Adobe's results are solid enough that panic selling looks insane. It delivered a double beat, raised full-year guidance and has some stability with a new CEO, yet many investors are again calling it trash. x.comÂ