Adobe looks undervalued, though less so than Meta, and its buyback adds appeal. As @AdrianGermanKo1 notes, it is cheaper on P/E with very large revenue, discounted because its future story is not viewed as good. x.comÂ
Natan
Contrarian Stock Investor
Adobe is a bit undervalued, though not significantly, at 13x earnings with 13% revenue growth. Its falling profit margin is concerning, and AI threats are growing as image generation improves. x.comÂ
Adobe trades at 2018 price levels even though revenue has grown nearly 200% since then, from $2.2B to $6.4B, and its $25B buyback on a $100B market cap amounts to a quarter of the company. The bottom may not be in yet, but the market won't ignore it forever. x.comÂ
Adobe is not the SaaS stock to buy, even though SaaS stocks should see a revival, because more exciting second-tier names with similar buyback programs are on sale. Adobe's new $25B buyback, enough to retire about 25% of its shares at the current price, shows high confidence in its resilience rather than cash flows imploding from AI disruption. x.com x.comÂ
Adobe is priced below its Covid-crash intraday low even though it now makes 3x more money with 20% fewer shares, and its best run of profit growth has come during the AI era. It beat last quarter's guidance and raised its full-year outlook, yet trades around 10x current, a low price for growth that should destroy the bear narrative. It also bought back 9.5M shares for over $2.3B. x.com x.comÂ
Adobe's post-earnings drop looks like irrational sentiment, not a fundamental problem. Revenue and EPS beat, Q3 and full-year guidance rose, and AI-related revenue grew over 300% year over year, showing AI is becoming a growth engine rather than destroying Adobe. It keeps buying back stock at scale, and given its profitability and growth the valuation isn't expensive; long term it remains an undervalued software company. x.comÂ
Adobe is completely cooked: its low P/E is low for a reason, and there are plenty of better companies to buy. @StockSavvyShay notes that Anthropic's new Claude Design lets users create prototypes, slides and one-pagers by talking to Claude, pushing into territory associated with Figma and Adobe without requiring much design experience. x.comÂ
Adobe is a strong company hit harder than it should be, as the market treats a temporary slowdown as permanent decline. It fits the undervalued setup of a real moat, temporary rather than structural problems and extremely negative sentiment, where the price has fallen more than the fundamentals, lowering risk and raising upside. Great companies adapt and recover. x.comÂ
Adobe has fallen back to its 2018 share price even though revenue is roughly 3x and EPS roughly 5x higher since then. It runs 89% gross margins and has a $25B buyback program, about 30% of its current market cap. x.comÂ
Adobe's stock is unattractive to investors while the AI rally dominates, even though the company itself is nowhere near dying. Once the AI ride cools off a bit, Adobe can see some rebound. x.comÂ
Adobe is a quality company trading at its lowest price-to-earnings multiple in five years. x.comÂ