Dell has transformed from a boring PC company into one of the largest AI infrastructure plays. Its AI server revenue rose from $9B in FY25 to $25B in FY26, with $50B guided for FY27. x.com
Vlad Bastion
Founder of Investment Bastion, Systematic Stock Ratings & Algorithmic Portfolios
Enterprise and neocloud demand is creating a second wave of AI infrastructure spending, with tailwinds for Nvidia and Super Micro. Dell forecasts 200 GW of AI data center growth through 2030, half driven by these customers, and estimates a $1 trillion AI infrastructure opportunity over the next four years. AI servers could enter a new growth phase in 2027, with higher shipment volumes and more revenue per deployment. x.com
Dell's AI server business is growing on a trajectory that should appeal to anyone who likes Nvidia's, driven by a massive public and private AI factory buildout with a huge number of racks still to sell. Revenue rose 58% to $47B and infrastructure revenue 89% to $31.8B. AI server orders hit a record $60.9B in the quarter and $131.7B over four quarters, with AI backlog at $95B and the pipeline multiples of that. AI customers exceed 6,500, and traditional servers and networking grew 122%. x.com … Show more
Dell still looks expensive at about 20x FY28 estimated EPS, since the expected AI server guidance raise to about $75bn is already priced in; the rating stays Hold. Fiscal Q2 looks soft, with revenue estimated at $42.2bn versus a $44.5bn guidance midpoint and EPS of $4.70 versus $4.84 consensus. NVL72 shipment estimates are cut, enterprise and PC demand show early cooling, and Hon Hai is winning more SpaceX Rubin orders. Tier-2 neocloud buildouts and Vera CPU racks are positives. x.com
Dell should benefit from AI data-center construction because builders say almost every new facility runs on Dell or Super Micro servers. Sales rose 49% in the past year to $151B; Dell is 18% below its high and is an easy double from here. x.com
Dell sits in the layer that turns GPUs into working AI factories, so it wins as AI demand moves from model headlines into installed infrastructure. AI server revenue rose 757% to $16.1B, Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue rose 181% to $29B, and total revenue grew 88% to $43.8B. Dell booked $24.4B of AI orders and raised its FY27 AI server revenue target to about $60B. GPUs still need server design, integration, networking, storage, cooling and deployment. x.com
Memory costs remain an unresolved risk for Dell even after a quarter that proved the pre-earnings bearish lean wrong. Gross margin rose to 20.9% from 17.8% and the October quarter was guided to $49.0bn, but AI server revenue grew just 1.7% while backlog jumped to $95bn, so a mix shift toward traditional servers and storage flattered margin. The $74bn full-year AI target needs about 26% sequential AI growth, so memory costs hit the October quarter on a richer AI mix, still unquantified. x.com … Show more
Dell is positioned at the forefront of a multi-hundred-billion-dollar AI infrastructure opportunity with one of the industry's most complete end-to-end offerings, from servers, storage and networking to enterprise software. AI server orders in its ISG infrastructure business are accelerating, partnerships with Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom have deepened, and global enterprise and government procurement has improved order visibility. Its long-term compounding potential could be substantial. x.com
Dell's AI server demand is not slowing. It shipped $16.4B of AI servers this quarter and booked $60.9B of new orders, lifting backlog from $43B to $51B to $95B over two quarters. FY27 guidance jumped $25B to $192B, with AI servers at $74B, and EPS came in at $7.04 against a $4.80 guide. x.com
Dell's re-rating from hardware vendor to AI platform has largely happened, so the stock is not worth chasing at about $440, or 24-25x forward earnings after a 150% YTD gain and a 40% gap, even though the business is near-flawless. Fiscal Q1 revenue rose 88% to $43.8B and full-year guidance rose about $27B to $165-169B, with AI servers up 757% and a record $51.3B backlog. Risks include AI-diluted gross margins, ballooning receivables and inventory, pull-forward demand and Dell-financed sales. … Show more
Dell's AI server business is exploding. Revenue grew 88%, its fastest since returning to public markets, driven by AI infrastructure demand; AI server revenue rose 757% year over year to $16.1B, and management raised full-year AI server revenue expectations to over $60B. x.com