Strategy's funding machine is breaking as its STRC preferred trades far below $100 par, threatening a death spiral. STRC pays about 11.5% and lets Strategy buy bitcoin only while near par; at a new low of about $82, issuance stops, yet cash dividends are still due. Cash has fallen from $2.25 billion to about $1 billion, and Strategy sold 32 BTC in late May to cover STRC obligations. Higher payouts mean more bitcoin sales, which hit bitcoin's price and confidence, pushing STRC lower again. x.com 

Strategy is no longer just a levered bitcoin proxy but a credit engine that must dilute common equity and sell bitcoin to keep its capital structure afloat. It sold bitcoin below its average cost basis to buy back STRC preferred shares, breaking its "never sell" thesis. It also raised $653M through at-the-market common stock sales toward a $4.65B cash reserve, prioritizing preferred dividend coverage over buying bitcoin, which exposes the rising cost of its preferred stack. x.com 

Daily STRC dividends advance Strategy's Bitcoin financing machine. Shareholders approved the payments, and Strategy's Bitcoin printer is unstoppable. x.com 

Strategy is in the worst possible position, with Michael Saylor now down $13.7 billion, about 20%, on its bitcoin bet. STRC needs money to be rescued, and selling bitcoin to fund it would hurt both bitcoin and Strategy badly. Only a sudden sharp bitcoin rally looks able to save it. x.com 

Falling STRC prices raise its effective yield, increasing Strategy's dividend burden and tying the instrument to occasional Bitcoin sales despite its large holdings. Saylor is promoting STRC's 12% yield paid twice a month, and the higher it is, the faster Strategy sells Bitcoin. Replying to @Blockcastcc's report of Peter Schiff's warning that Bitcoin could fall toward $20,000, Strategy should sell everything and repay: preferred holders can be paid, but common holders would be wiped out. x.com  … Show more

Bitcoin and Strategy offer an unparalleled and underappreciated setup now that the issue around Strategy's STRC preferred is largely resolved. x.com 

Strategy's STRC preferred was never as safe as a money market fund, and if both STRC and MSTR share dilution fail, the only way left to pay dividends is selling bitcoin. Believing STRC would stay at par forever while paying a junk-like 12% was financial illiteracy; per @betirement, it has now fallen below $90. Strategy says its bitcoin reserve gives it 32 years of dividend coverage. x.com  x.com 

STRC, the preferred stock tied to Strategy, is a Ponzi-like structure that will be Strategy's downfall unless it is shut down. The structural problem cannot be fixed while it exists, and management's stubbornness risks a massive loss of confidence in Strategy. If Strategy sells bitcoin to cope, lower bitcoin prices could follow in a vicious cycle. As long as STRC exists, believers in bitcoin should just own bitcoin. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Raising Strategy's STRC rate could lock common shareholders into costly dividends after sentiment improves. STRC is six times SATA's size; each 0.5-point hike costs $43m a year on existing shares, without evidence it can sustain par. Buybacks have pushed STRC toward par; as Bitcoin rises and daily payouts start, it will return to par at 12%. Reversing a hike without serious backlash may be difficult for 5-10 years. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Strategy's real risk is STRC permanently losing its $100 anchor, not bitcoin falling, because that makes its capital exponentially more expensive. STRC near $60 would signal investors demanding yields near 19%, and annual funding costs could approach $2B against about $1.4B of cash reserves as access to fresh capital deteriorates. Strategy would then have to sell large amounts of bitcoin at a loss to fund debt and dividends, testing whether bitcoin can absorb that pressure. x.com