BankofVol Grift
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AXT is among the high-growth companies likely to beat 5.2% bond yields: revenue rose 164% year on year and 77% sequentially, and it swung to a profit. As @BULLOFBRITAIN notes, the market is offering 100% growers at a 40% discount because investors want to lock in bond yields. x.comÂ
AXT is one of the charts highlighted as a long in the weekend newsletter, alongside Applied Optoelectronics. x.comÂ
AXT's new public offering should push the stock down. x.comÂ
AXT holds a critical-materials monopoly hiding in plain sight, because AI needs fiber, fiber needs lasers and lasers need indium phosphide. The stock is volatile. x.comÂ
AXT is a speculative add on the market's sharp drop, because indium phosphide wafer prices have reportedly risen a lot lately. x.comÂ
AXT is a good company, but its valuation is currently somewhat high. x.comÂ
AXT could double if its inverse head-and-shoulders pattern completes. It sits in the semicap space that benefits from hyperscalers' new capex, and strong call flow today adds support. x.comÂ
Options flow in AXT points bullish, with $1.4M going into calls and a $1.4M put seller. x.com x.comÂ
Small caps such as AXT that have risen 8,800% in a year at forward P/Es in the hundreds look held by buyers hoping to dump on the next person. Investors should ask who runs them, what the moats are and whether competitors can replicate them; Nvidia's Jensen Huang says most bottlenecks can be solved within a few years, so what happens in 5-10? This pushes back on @aleabitoreddit's claim that AXT controls the materials buildout for photonics. x.comÂ
AXT is trying to break higher, with heavy August call buying seen yesterday. x.comÂ