Caterpillar looks like a prime short because it trades on AI-style hype without earnings to match. Its quarter-on-quarter numbers aren't proving out: last quarter it earned less than last September, and revenue versus last year doesn't look great. The stock ran up hard even with rates at their peak and likely to stay there for a while. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Caterpillar is trading on P/E and valuation expansion rather than growth, with 2026 revenue the same as in 2023. It will be attractive to short after its stock split; for now, put premiums are too high. x.com 

Caterpillar's strong fundamentals should eventually help its shares find support once investors agree on a new multiple. The stock is down 35% from its peak after a parabolic run; continued separation of gross profit from operating expenses would be welcome. x.com 

Caterpillar has been repriced from a century-old industrial into an AI growth stock at peak euphoria, and insiders who see that as temporary sold $87 million of shares in three months. The rerating came as hyperscalers ordered its engines and generators to power AI data centers. The stock now sits at Livermore's point 9, the test before selling short, as the market enters a correction phase. x.com 

Caterpillar looks set to drop hard after a parabolic move. The stock is not cheap, margins are stretched and buyers chased it, which explains why Michael Burry shorted it here. If Burry has called the top, he would close the short around $579. x.com 

Caterpillar deserves a rerating because its earnings power now comes from data center power infrastructure, a secular driver, rather than the housing and mining cycles it has long been priced on. Power Systems grew 44% in Q4 as hyperscalers signed 2-gigawatt generator contracts for private grid capacity, the early stage of a multi-year procurement cycle no competitor can match on capacity or service network. Backlog hit $51 billion, up 71%. Rating is Overweight with an $860 December 2026 target. … Show more

Caterpillar is priced like a turbo-charged Walmart, which is worse for a cyclical company. A quoted post notes it trades at 35x next-twelve-month earnings while EPS estimates are at a record high; its past three big buying opportunities came at about 30x at notable earnings troughs. x.com 

Caterpillar is an easy short because its price assumed revenue would double, and 24% growth is underwhelming by comparison. That stands even after the stock jumped premarket on what @brent_e_trader called a huge earnings beat and raise. x.com 

Michael Burry's short on Caterpillar looks mistaken given its $72B backlog, up 92% year over year. Per TrendSpider, Burry's biggest shorts now include Oracle, Palantir, Nebius, Nvidia, Micron, Caterpillar and CoreWeave. Shorting some of the purest AI plays in the biggest tech revolution in history to buy Adobe and Lululemon is astounding. x.com 

Uncertain AI-capex profits and higher oil costs from Iran still threaten US stocks. The SPCX-Nvidia deal brought much-needed overnight inflows to chips and is shifting sentiment, but tech's waterfall decline will not heal with a sharp V-bottom. Be prepared for a big fade. x.com