Greenland Energy's near-500% surge on a Greenland security pact looks overdone and likely to fall back below $5 by October 6, then toward $2.88. The pact covers military access; drilling needs a separate Greenland permit, now targeted for winter 2027. It has no revenue and $37.4M of cash, 13 billion barrels is an unrisked high case, and the first well has a 1-in-5 chance. $5 warrants and a share-based 80 Mile bid add supply. A close above $5 on October 6 or an early permit would prove it wrong. x.com

