Frank Curzio
Founder & CEO of Curzio Research, Wall Street Unplugged Host
Greenland Energy's no-revenue exploration and delayed drilling make its politically driven stock spike risky to chase. Its Jameson Land licenses remain valid despite Greenland's 2021 ban on new oil licenses, but earning its stake requires drilling and the first wells have slipped to winter 2027. A presidential post is not a drilling permit; early holders and insiders, rather than buyers chasing the gap, stand to benefit. x.com x.comÂ
Greenland Energy's near-500% surge on a Greenland security pact looks overdone and likely to fall back below $5 by October 6, then toward $2.88. The pact covers military access; drilling needs a separate Greenland permit, now targeted for winter 2027. It has no revenue and $37.4M of cash, 13 billion barrels is an unrisked high case, and the first well has a 1-in-5 chance. $5 warrants and a share-based 80 Mile bid add supply. A close above $5 on October 6 or an early permit would prove it wrong. … Show more
Greenland Mines is a low-float stock that will be hard to hold back given all the news coming out of Greenland. x.comÂ
Greenland Energy, at about a $100 million market cap, has good odds of actually making money, unlike Critical Metals at about $1.4 billion. Its oil project fits a US administration that was openly urging companies to set up new oil projects in foreign territories just over a month ago. x.com x.comÂ
The Greenland trade looks played out for now, and GRML's pump may be fading, though its squeeze risk has not. GRML looks tired, but borrow still costs about 602%, with GLND around 684%. Falling borrow fees and returning share inventory would make the party's-over call much stronger, and another news-driven pump would be needed to reignite it. x.comÂ
US rare-earth and critical-mineral stocks could benefit from up to $1.6B of US investment in a domestic supply chain, even as heavy rare-earth stocks crash. USA Rare Earth is building a US mine-to-magnet chain including dysprosium and terbium; MP Materials is expanding into heavy rare-earth separation, alloys and magnets; Energy Fuels is expanding US separation; Critical Metals is developing Greenland's Tanbreez; NioCorp and American Resources are building US critical-mineral projects. x.com … Show more
PrimeEnergy trades around 6x normalized earnings because its reserve life is a huge unknown: about five years of proven reserves plus three more years of identified drilling, with little visibility beyond. It will probably outperform that long term, but near term it is mostly oil beta, with intermittent, unpredictable alpha. Better gas pricing once more takeaway capacity is online would help, since it gets only $0.75 for natural gas, and liquids output nearing 2 million barrels de-risks opex. … Show more
Energy stocks enter the week bullish after the president announced a great oil deal and crude gapped up, a move worth noting for its future impact. The view covers broad energy and exploration-and-production funds, refiners Marathon Petroleum, PBF Energy and Valero, drillers Transocean, Helmerich & Payne and Valaris, and service companies NESR and SLB. x.comÂ
