MP Materials looks like a no-brainer at current prices because the US has no choice but to back domestic rare earth suppliers. Rare earth demand should at least double in five years, and China could cut off supply at any time, making MP a national-security hedge with a big government stake. About $1.15B of 2030 EBIT at 30x implies roughly $200 a share. With customers in chips, robotics, drones and defense, MP deserves a premium to Freeport and BHP, and it is 2+ years ahead of USA Rare Earth. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
