Eric Jhonsa
Technology Portfolio Manager at Dutch Asset
Broadcom faces more accelerator share risk than Nvidia, a key caveat for its AI case. Nvidia's strengths span silicon, systems and networking co-design, and software and ecosystem, while Broadcom's revolve around silicon and packaging IP, making it easier to take accelerator share from Broadcom. Broadcom's switch silicon business also faces some disruption risk from optical circuit switches. x.com
Broadcom looks cheap at about 12x what its guidance implies for calendar 2028. Hock Tan guided AI semiconductor revenue from $58B in FY26 to $115B in FY27 and $230B in FY28, with FY28 EPS on target above $30 versus $26.42 consensus. It faces bigger competitive headwinds than Nvidia, but markets got too pessimistic given its product and supply-chain strengths and the demand environment. Supply, demand and AI lab revenue growth could still change a lot. x.com x.com x.com x.com
Broadcom's integrated optics, electronics and packaging could lower custom-chip system costs because separate suppliers defend their margins. At similar valuations, it is preferred to Nvidia and has more room to beat expectations. Google TPU v8 shipments are estimated at 4.0M in 2026 and 9.1M in 2027, assuming Broadcom supplies the remainder after MediaTek's allocation. Anthropic financing adds value only if chip profit exceeds likely support payments and capacity costs. x.com x.com
Broadcom's custom AI chips for major customers position it as a clear winner in the continuing AI buildout. Kris Patel's case that efficiency and total cost of ownership leave Broadcom room to gain share from incumbent Nvidia is persuasive. Broadcom has not seen peers' upside and is 30% below its highs, making the stock an opportunity. x.com x.com
Broadcom's AI business is smaller and growing slower than Nvidia's networking unit alone, yet Broadcom is valued at $2.269T against Nvidia's $5.201T. Broadcom's Q2 AI semiconductor revenue rose 143% to $10.8B, with Q3 guided to $16.0B, while Nvidia's data-center networking revenue rose 199% to $14.8B. Hock Tan also said Google is diversifying away from Broadcom, and a Fubon roadmap shows Google using MediaTek for some TPUs. x.com x.com
Broadcom's custom AI chips and networking could drive earnings beyond what its valuation implies over 2-3 years. It is the favorite semiconductor opportunity now, preferred over NVIDIA without replacing it. AI semiconductor revenue is projected at about $58B in FY2026, $115B in FY2027 and potentially $230B in FY2028. At about 17x FY2027 consensus adjusted earnings, risk/reward is compelling if growth materializes; customer commitments add visibility, but delays and financing remain risks. x.com … Show more
Broadcom's diverse networking exposure makes it one of the best positioned in the theme. The market has overlooked it year to date. Optical DSPs, Tomahawk and Jericho underpin the view; Tomahawk 6/7 ramps in 2027, and Tomahawk Ultra and optical DSPs should accelerate growth. New XPU customers and extended hyperscaler deals add to earnings upside and an eventual re-rating. Risks remain, and weak semiconductor flows warrant caution about calling a bottom. x.com
Broadcom's top growth driver, Google TPUs, can be captured elsewhere, such as through Vicor, while its OpenAI exposure through the Jalapeño chip is unwanted in light of today's news, even if that proves a nothingburger. Broadcom should still do great and may be worth re-entering later, but the capital can find better ways to outperform it. x.com x.com
Broadcom's selloff on flat AI chip guidance prices in the wrong thesis. The guidance, reported by CNBC, is being read as sector weakness, but the real signal is hyperscaler capex rotating off raw GPUs into networking, interconnects and custom silicon, which is Broadcom's core strength. This is a rotation, not a turn. x.com
AI infrastructure bottlenecks could give eight stocks as much as 18x upside. Nvidia supplies frontier-model GPUs; Broadcom and Marvell supply custom silicon and networking; TSMC makes advanced chips; Micron supplies sold-out HBM; Vertiv provides power and cooling; Palantir monetizes enterprise AI; Alphabet spans TPUs, research, cloud and apps. The list tracks where AI infrastructure spending is flowing. x.com x.com
Broadcom borrowing again signals a $1.8 trillion company running low on cash. Per @KobeissiLetter, citing the WSJ, Broadcom is seeking more than $50 billion of financing for OpenAI's custom AI chip, with Apollo and Blackstone among the lenders it has approached. x.com
Broadcom's stronger AI business looks cheap for its growth, making it one of the best buys in the market right now. AI chip revenue rose 221% to $16.7B last quarter, yet the stock trades at 19x forward earnings and a 0.35 PEG. Management sees AI revenue near $115B in fiscal 2027 and would raise that outlook if customers secure more land and power. Anthropic is on track to be its largest custom chip customer next year. Wall Street's $529 average target implies about 60% upside. x.com
