Late Stage Capitalism
Physician, Long-Term Stock Investor with 30 Years of Experience
Imperial Petroleum and StealthGas are an under-the-radar way to play rising energy shipping demand. @StockSavvyShay notes US data centers are on track to consume more natural gas than most countries by 2035, making gas a major second-order AI demand story, and Exxon raised its LNG sales target to 50m tons a year by 2030 from 40m, per @SStapczynski. x.com x.comÂ
StealthGas trades well below net tangible asset value even after its move up, as ocean shipping stocks show relative strength amid ongoing conflicts and shipping rates are reportedly rising. It has one of the best charts among shippers, with a clean triangle consolidation in an uptrend on telling volume. x.comÂ
Expand Energy is cheap and pays a good dividend while it waits for its day, and US LNG is in a prime position with Russian and Middle East LNG supplies threatened. The weekly chart is breaking out of a bullish falling wedge within an expanding symmetrical wedge, though the stock is still well below its 30-week EMA, so this is no reason to get too excited yet. x.comÂ
NextDecade's LNG export potential could make the next five years something special, and the long-term thesis is sound. @RealMattMoney and @KrisPatel99 have been correct on it from a long-term perspective; @RealMattMoney calls it the most asymmetric bet in the stock market. x.comÂ
Venture Global seems to offer the most torque to LNG fundamentals, with significant damage to Gulf LNG infrastructure and an exceptional natural gas setup. Seasonal strength, LNG and data center demand and the Middle East energy crisis support gas from a $3 start, with commercials max long and one heat wave from $10 Henry Hub. Gas companies trade on the strip, so they gain from rising prices even when gas funds lose to contango. The project seems viable, with positive news flow. x.com x.com … Show more
Natural gas is undervalued because the market hasn't connected AI infrastructure spending to the power that runs it. Everyone is buying AI infrastructure while nobody is buying the power behind it, and shale depletion is real. Even so, EQT fell nearly 4% this week, a sign the AI trade's power problem is not yet priced in. x.comÂ
Equinor's earnings reacceleration and role supplying Europe's gas support a core long-term energy holding. The attached analysis estimates 129% EPS growth in 2026 and an 8.99 forward P/E, alongside strong technical momentum. Conflict involving Qatar or LNG supply disruption could increase the value of Norwegian gas to Europe. x.comÂ
The Iran war could be a huge catalyst for US energy stocks as energy independence becomes a necessity rather than a luxury. Nuclear names Constellation Energy, Vistra, Centrus and Cameco combine energy security with massive AI power demand, while natural-gas names Cheniere, EQT and Antero gain from LNG demand and tighter global supply. x.comÂ
EQT is still a favored gas play, and not too late, because Qatar's Ras Laffan LNG hub is badly disrupted. EQT raised hedging to nearly 40% of 2026 production at an average floor near $4.30/MMBtu and ceiling near $6.30, a tactical approach that adds protection selectively while staying exposed to upside. x.com x.comÂ
Natural gas faces a real but temporary 2027-2030 price spike as LNG and AI demand outrun buildout lead times, rather than Chronometer's structural, permanent rise. That mechanism is sound and little disputed on timing: processing takes 2-3 years and new frac capacity is unlikely before late 2028-2029. But Chronometer's export and depletion assumptions clash with 2025-26 data, as Haynesville output grew about 2.4 Bcf/d at roughly $4 gas. Rebalancing should follow once capacity catches up. x.com … Show more
EQT has convexity because low investment in natural gas collides with rising LNG and datacenter demand. The gas basin isn't that deep. x.comÂ