Opendoor, a meme real estate stock, is predictably struggling in a historically slow housing market with mortgage rates near 7.35%. Per @DudeWhoInvests, shares now trade around $2.50, far below the $7 insiders paid. x.com
Late Stage Capitalism
Physician, Long-Term Stock Investor with 30 Years of Experience
Opendoor is best avoided because it is too correlated with the mortgage market, which is doing horribly right now. x.com
Opendoor's record net loss undermines its investment case. Trailing net income has fallen to negative $1.521 billion, its worst level so far. x.com
OpenAI's pre-IPO period will spur a meme-style rally in Opendoor shares. x.com
Opendoor keeps losing money each quarter while cycling through CEOs. Its steep stock decline looks like capital markets disciplining a struggling business. x.com
Opendoor's Q2 double miss shows housing transaction velocity remains heavily constrained, disrupting its turnaround and pressuring near-term EBITDA breakeven targets. Revenue rebounded 23% sequentially to $883M but fell 44% year over year, and EPS was -$0.17 against -$0.07 expected. With rates keeping home turnover frozen, its capital-intensive model faces ongoing margin compression until real estate volume stabilizes. x.com
Markets can front-run a rate turnaround, favoring an upward swing in Opendoor. Its transformation and a turn in rates are both bullish catalysts, while long-duration Treasuries look to be bottoming. Opendoor's stock is holding its support area. x.com
Opendoor will go nowhere until interest rates fall and home affordability improves. It has broken down from a Darvas box, while retail traders keep buying it because it is low-priced and was hyped toward $80 a share. x.com
Opendoor combines an awful business, awful management, an awful board and awful shareholders. @qcapital2020 recalls the retail campaign that left thousands of bagholders, and Keith Rabois installing a Shopify executive as CEO while talking of a $100 billion company. x.com
Opendoor has crashed enough and should fly once interest rates come down a lot. x.com
Opendoor's shrinking revenue and persistent operating losses undermine Keith Rabois's claim that its metrics are solid. Revenue fell from $15.6 billion in 2022 to $4.4 billion in 2025; the S&P Capital IQ screenshot shows broker estimates for negative EBIT through 2028 and $1.96 billion in total debt. x.com x.com