Dell's run could get a good boost from apparent support from Trump, who, per a post the author replies to, seems to really like Dell right now. x.com
Deep Inference
Partner at Aion Analytics, Quantitative Markets Research
Dell Technologies is turning into one of the biggest AI infrastructure plays in the market, no longer just a PC company. It has massive AI server demand, NVIDIA partnerships and a record AI backlog, while governments race to build sovereign AI and enterprise AI capex accelerates. Trump is now publicly telling Americans to buy Dell, and his AI agenda centers on data centers and compute, with Dell in the middle of that trade. When he did the same with Intel, Intel rose 500%. x.com
Dell could be sent toward $500 by Trump's promotion of the stock, after what his backing did for Intel. Trump is pumping Dell hard, and a quant model also flags it as a buy. x.com x.com
Dell's 12% jump on claims that Trump told people to buy the stock was a coordinated social media pump, and it is now dumping. Trump praised the Dell family and said people should buy a Dell computer, not Dell shares, and Dell is not like Intel or the administration's four other holdings. As an American company Dell is probably not a bad investment, but there are better things to wait for. x.com
Dell should benefit from AI data-center construction because builders say almost every new facility runs on Dell or Super Micro servers. Sales rose 49% in the past year to $151B; Dell is 18% below its high and is an easy double from here. x.com
Dell Technologies has shifted decisively to the bullish side on staggering AI server demand, raised guidance and political endorsement, including a call to "go out and buy a Dell." The chart shows a bullish pennant. A gap below could still fill, but a move higher puts $469.47 next as a challenge to prior highs, with a Fibonacci target of $535.35 above that. x.com
Dell looks overvalued, trading about seven turns above its historical multiple range and at a premium to many AI semiconductor bottleneck names despite not providing a bottleneck solution. Michael Dell spiking the ball on the latest quarter might mark the top. x.com
Dell ranks among the best on buybacks and low stock-based compensation, with strong expansion in both profit margin and revenue. x.com
ServiceNow, Oracle, Micron and Dell are Trump-favored stocks tied to US government and AI priorities. ServiceNow automates government and DOGE runs on it; Oracle hosts the NSA and Trump's AI data deal was signed there; Micron is the domestic memory play as America wants to own memory; and Dell builds the servers in every US AI factory. Per @itsmichaelluu, NVIDIA chose ServiceNow as its enterprise AI partner and ServiceNow has $10.9 billion of contracted future revenue growing 21%+. x.com
Dell is heavily overearning heading into a two-sigma melt-up, leaving the stock exposed to a reversal. x.com
Dell has room to run to $800 next after its climb from the $450s to $600, backed by heavy options buying. Someone has bet over $4 million in one of the most aggressive options buy executions seen. x.com