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Jay Yoon

Founder & Portfolio Manager of Summit Ridge Capital Management

21 Sep, 16:24Latest

Power Solutions International's weak first half looks like a timing air pocket, not a deteriorating data center opportunity. Import data suggest it received about 20 large Weichai engines in August, multiples of its January-July total, consistent with management's view that 2H revenue will exceed 1H. At 1H margins, 2H EPS could be about $2, or $4 annualized, only 10-12x earnings. The Generac-Amazon deal validates the platform of Weichai, ~46% owner of PSIX, with US data center buyers. x.com

PSIX

The Inflection Economy

Portfolio Managers at Logos LP

28 Oct

GNRC

Generac's data-center growth is starting to add to a healthier core business instead of merely offsetting residential weakness. Commercial and industrial sales rose 28%, residential sales rose 9%, and margins improved in both segments. x.com

Masa’s Son

Non-Consensus Long/Short Technology Investor

6 Aug

PSIX

Power Solutions International's large gas and diesel gensets for prime power are a big opportunity that is not priced in. Results improved after a disastrous Q1, though gross-margin guidance of 25% is below historical levels and management could not explain the gap versus Generac. x.com

Markos

Founder of Asset Alliance Investment Group

11 May

PSIX

Power Solutions International shows the AI data center tailwind story failing to reach the numbers. After management sold the AI tailwind, earnings showed revenue down 5%, net income down 62% and gross margin falling from 29.7% to 22.9%, echoing Eos Energy. Scaling industrial capacity is hard: ramp costs, shipment timing, qualification and operational lag all bite. More high-flyers in energy, photonics and glass substrates are likely to take the same hit. x.com

Pavlos D

Founder of Elliott Waves Trades, Checklist-Based Trading

17 Sep

GNRC

Generac's $8B Amazon deal for data-center backup generators is a partnership, not just an order, because Amazon's warrant for 1.69M shares at $200.93 vests only as Amazon actually pays. $2.4B of the deal lands in 2027–28. The news ended a five-wave decline from $296.44 at $173.25, and one candle reclaimed the 50-day ($214) and 200-day ($208.75) averages. Holding $220 targets $249, $270 and a $296 retest; losing $214 means a gap fill to $201. x.com

Cole Grinde

Stock & Options Investor, Dividends/Value/Fundamentals, Tesla

16 Sep

GNRC

Generac's long-term deal to supply backup generators for Amazon's data centers makes it a strategic long-term play as more power capacity is needed. The agreement could pay up to $8B, with initial deliveries of $2.4B across 2027 and 2028, and Amazon received warrants for up to 1.69M Generac shares at $200.93. x.com

Nicholas Mugalli

Institutional TMT & Macro Research, AI/Semiconductors/Policy

11 May

PSIX

Power Solutions International has no recovery in sight after missing every number badly. Revenue was $128.6M versus $160.8M expected, EPS $0.36 versus $0.52, and EBITDA fell 47% to $13.9M. Gross margin dropped 680bps to 22.9%, deterioration that takes multiple cycles to rebuild. Guiding Q2 as generally consistent with Q1 signals the margin compression is not a one-quarter anomaly. After a 50% one-day drop, there is no obvious catalyst to catch this knife. x.com

Venu

Position Trader, Market Leaders, Fundamental/Technical Analysis

25 May

GNRC

Generac Holdings is quietly becoming a key AI infrastructure bottleneck, because every hyperscale AI campus needs backup power from day one and the supply of large megawatt generators remains extremely tight. Data-center backup demand is exploding, Generac has a data-center backlog above $700 million, and EPS is expected to grow from $3.24 over the last twelve months to $13.69 by fiscal 2028. x.com

Moody

Equity Investor, Semiconductor Research

19 Oct

2GB.DE

2G Energy's growing orders and long service tail support its unusually cheap AI data-center power valuation. Nine-month 2026 orders exceed €880m, more than twice 2025 revenue; backlog runs into 2028 and service contracts last 15-20 years. Management first guided to €750-850m of revenue in 2028 and says units already sold could support over $100m in annual service revenue once running from mid-2027. At about 17x expected 2027 earnings, it looks cheapest in this space and is preferred to INNIO. … Show more

GrowthTurtle

Data Science PhD & IEEE Fellow, Ex-Two Sigma

28 Aug

PSIX

Power Solutions International looks cheap against its earnings, at 12x trailing and 11x next year's versus the roughly 19x industrial equipment makers usually get. Putting 19x on next year's estimated $3.26 a share, give or take 12%, gives fair value of about $54.51 to $69.37, with the stock 33% under the low end; a pullback level sits at $35.28. This is a levels-only read off reported earnings and revenue estimates, with no fundamental work. x.com

qinbafrank

AI/Crypto/TMT Investor, Global Liquidity & Macro, Cycle-Based Investing

31 Jul

AMZN

Amazon is proving its AI capex earns strong returns, which is why the stock rose despite higher spending. AWS growth accelerated to about 37% on a $169B run rate with a 39.4% margin, and its $496B backlog more than doubled, with most new 2027 capacity booked. Unlike Google, management gave a payback timeline: servers break even in under three years, last five to six, and most AI contracts run at least five. Upside depends on the larger $220B 2026 capex repeating those returns in 2027-2028. x.com … Show more

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