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Stage Analysis Trader, Creator of Next Big Trade Premium Newsletter
US rare-earth and critical-mineral stocks could benefit from up to $1.6B of US investment in a domestic supply chain, even as heavy rare-earth stocks crash. USA Rare Earth is building a US mine-to-magnet chain including dysprosium and terbium; MP Materials is expanding into heavy rare-earth separation, alloys and magnets; Energy Fuels is expanding US separation; Critical Metals is developing Greenland's Tanbreez; NioCorp and American Resources are building US critical-mineral projects. x.com … Show more
Rare earths are the one sector that has not yet seen meaningful inflows while money rotates into a new sector every week, and that is unlikely to last much longer. MP Materials, Energy Fuels, Uranium Energy, Centrus Energy and Lithium Americas are the names for that rotation. x.comÂ
USA Rare Earth, Energy Fuels and MP Materials are a pass for now because whale accumulation on their weekly charts is gradually decreasing. They are not a favored setup yet. x.comÂ
Domestic rare-earth and critical-mineral supply chains will make this stock group a generational wealth builder this year. REalloys has Army negotiations and an EXIM letter of interest; USA Rare Earth is developing a mine-to-magnet chain; MP Materials is expanding into magnets; Energy Fuels processes rare earths; and Lithium Americas is advancing Thacker Pass with GM and DOE support. REalloys paid to be included in this list. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Energy Fuels and Perma-Fix are the only two US companies permitted to separate and refine radioactive material, a scarce capability in the middle of a rare-earth crisis. The market should eventually connect that position to the rare-earth shortage. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Energy Fuels is expensive against its earnings, trading about 30% above fair value. It sits at about 20x forward earnings while uranium miners usually get 14x; 14x next year's $0.48 a share, give or take 12%, implies $5.98-7.60. The valuation also leans on the forecast, with forward earnings 117% above trailing. This is a valuation read only, based on reported earnings and revenue estimates. x.comÂ
Rare earth stocks are worth buying on every dip as Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Needham and Wedbush all raised their targets and outlook for the sector this month. The preferred names, in order, are USA Rare Earth, Energy Fuels (a rare earth and uranium hybrid), Critical Metals, MP Materials, TMC and NioCorp. x.comÂ
Energy Fuels is the critical-minerals play as the US needs domestic uranium and rare-earth supply while nuclear demand accelerates globally. It runs the only licensed and operating uranium mill in the US and the only facility able to produce separated rare earths domestically. It mined 1.72 million pounds of uranium in 2025 and just produced the first US terbium oxide in decades. Consensus sees 2026 revenue of $147 million, up 123%. x.comÂ
Cameco is the preferred uranium name over Energy Fuels as the sector leader. Energy Fuels looks too volatile and is still loss-making, making it a poor choice for holding a commodity stock over a long time. x.comÂ
US government backing and China's roughly 90% control of the global heavy-metals and rare-earth market make USA Rare Earth an easy hold. Its projected 2030 revenue is $2.6 billion, and most stocks in the basket trade at 20-30x sales. It is especially an easy hold near the log 0.786 Fibonacci level, with weekly RSI at 30. x.comÂ