Marvell is not toast, but the $1 trillion valuation a post the author replies to attributes to Jensen Huang is unlikely in 2026 and most likely comes sometime in 2027. x.com
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The Lumentum merger makes Marvell's path toward a $1 trillion valuation look clearer if it executes well. Jensen Huang had called Marvell the next $1 trillion company. Lumentum's demand is sold for the next two to three years, though whether that gives Marvell an edge remains an open question. Marvell looks like a long-term opportunity, but the route to building a position is still unclear. x.com
Marvell can become the next $1 trillion company, which makes the investing case simple. Jensen Huang was cited as saying so, and even if that comment actually referred to AMD, Marvell can still reach the mark. x.com x.com
Marvell looks like the biggest bubble mankind has ever seen at about 100x trailing earnings, 170x forward earnings and 33x sales. The stock added about $110 a share, roughly $100B of market cap, after Jensen Huang said it will become a trillion-dollar company. x.com
Marvell is the next trillion-dollar company, and its growth trend should continue when it reports Q2 on August 27. Jensen Huang said Marvell is the next Micron. x.com
Buying Lumentum would make Jensen Huang's $1 trillion vision for Marvell seem more realistic, but a roughly $200 billion Marvell would need to dilute shareholders heavily to acquire an approximately $80 billion Lumentum. The deal was still reported as nearing agreement, not completed. x.com
Marvell's $1 trillion valuation, which Jensen Huang predicted, is a slogan rather than a valuation. At its FY2028 targets of $16.5B revenue and a high-30s operating margin, $1T means about 60x sales and 180x adjusted earnings; at 30x earnings it would need roughly $95B of revenue, essentially the entire $94B 2028 data center market Marvell estimates. GAAP net income was just $34.5M in Q1, and dilution adds pressure. Operating leverage from 45% growth is the bull case. x.com
Marvell looks interesting at less than 30x calendar-2027 EPS against expected 60-70% annual EPS growth, but overpaying for Lumentum could drive its shares lower. Marvell could pay up to $110B, roughly a 30% premium; the stock-versus-debt mix is unclear, and Lumentum holders might own a third of the combined company. If the deal falls apart, Marvell could rise 10-12%. x.com
Marvell is positioned for AI's next bottleneck, connectivity, as larger AI compute, agentic AI and reasoning models drive surging demand to link GPUs and XPUs at ultra-high speed. Its CEO said Marvell is next after memory and set its 2030 addressable market at $400 billion, about four times the prior figure, the most bullish recent commentary. Marvell is Nvidia's pick as the next trillion-dollar company. x.com
Marvell's roughly $90 billion valuation jump on a single comment is not sustainable; the only question is how long it can last. Per The Kobeissi Letter, the stock rose over 45% in two days after NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang said it could become the next trillion-dollar company. x.com
Marvell Technology could return 5x from current prices if it becomes a $1 trillion company, as Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said it will one day. Today looks like a nice entry. x.com