GE Aerospace's rising orders and higher 2026 free cash flow strengthen its growth case. Orders rose 49% overall and 58% in Commercial Engines & Services. That segment's revenue rose 21%, with services up 17% and equipment up 38%; defense rose 7%. Commercial Engines & Services margins were in line, with mix and inflation noted. x.com 

GE Aerospace earns most of its money servicing a huge installed engine base, and record air traffic keeps that base turning. Engines sell at up to 70% off, while shop visits bring up to 70% of lifetime revenue; services were about 70% of 2025's $42B revenue, with a $210B backlog. At 43x earnings versus a 37x five-year average it is not cheap, a premium backed by the end of the conglomerate discount, margins and visibility. A correction would come only with a normal general market pullback. x.com  … Show more

GE Aerospace's premium valuation looks hard to justify as margin expansion slips to 2028. Services are guided to low-double-digit growth with flat margins in 2027, while faster-growing original equipment could keep overall margins flat. Roughly 10-12% revenue growth would imply about $1.2-1.3B operating profit growth, down from about $1.9B in 2026, against a 35-38x multiple. Q3 departures rose only 1%, with prolonged Brent above $100 a further near-term risk. x.com 

Doncasters' earnings look relatively certain over the next three years, making the stock look quite cheap. Aerospace jitters center on JBLU and Elon Musk entering the blades and vanes market, but SpaceX might supply only its own needs and has no chance of external sales until 2031 or later. x.com 

RTX benefits from Pratt & Whitney's recovering jet-engine business alongside rising global defense budgets. In Q3 FY26, sales rose 11%, operating profit 32% with margins expanding, and net income to common 35%; basic EPS rose from $1.43 to $1.91. Grade A: RTX sits in the sweet spot as the world rearms and flies more. x.com 

RTX pairs solid fundamentals with near-term share pressure, backed by sustained defense demand, a cash-rich aftermarket and a fading GTF engine problem. Geopolitical tension drives demand for air defense, radars and munitions as procurement shifts to long-term replenishment. Delayed Boeing and Airbus deliveries keep older fleets flying, lifting high-margin repair work at Collins and Pratt & Whitney. GTF remediation is on track, with aircraft on ground down about 15% and repair output up 23%. … Show more

GE Aerospace's $11.75B purchase of casting house CPP marks casting capacity at scarcity value, a pricing signal that reads through to Howmet Aerospace. The biggest engine maker could not secure casting capacity any other way; customers bid for the foundry base rather than disrupt it. GE is about 11% of Howmet's sales and some volume may move in-house, but requalification takes years. The long-term test is Howmet's pricing power next contract cycle if GE internalizes the marginal ton. x.com  x.com 

Howmet Aerospace is an obvious short because its valuation is insane for a cyclical industrial. Its oligopoly in turbine blades, where only three companies can produce at scale, is already well known and priced in at about 100x free cash flow. Even a bull case implies only a 2.7% free cash flow yield on 2030 numbers, far less attractive than Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia or Salesforce. x.com  x.com 

Honeywell Aerospace starts life with heavy spin-off burdens, so it is worth waiting for a better price. It carries $15.85 billion of debt and $800 million of annual interest after sending $15.1 billion to Honeywell, pays $1.125 billion over five years to use the Honeywell name, faces standalone overhead and took on the $375 million Flexjet settlement. After a guidance cut, institutions may shun it through year-end and underwater holders may sell for tax losses. It should still do well long term. … Show more

RTX's constraint has shifted from finding demand to building fast enough, as a commercial travel recovery and global rearmament land in one company. All three businesses expanded margins while orders outpaced shipments. Pratt & Whitney certified the GTF Advantage engine and sharply lifted PW1100 shop visits; Raytheon more than doubled first-half munitions output and won GEM-T awards; Collins' Sidekick software was picked for the Air Force's CCA program. Full-year guidance rose. x.com