Datadog plays a pivotal role in the AI rollout and has a chance at a monster breakout after more than 1,600 days of consolidation on the weekly chart. x.com
artisanwill
Equity & Options Trader, Analyst at The Option Cartel, MS Finance
Datadog's AI observability demand is starting to show up in its numbers. It posted its first $1B quarter with revenue growth accelerating to 32%. The stock has been forming a base for more than four years, and the bigger the base, the higher the potential move. x.com
Datadog was wrongly caught up in the 'AI is killing software' selloff, because it is the tracking and logging tool for AI agents and is moving into security for agentic agents. AI tools in software developers' hands should also drastically speed feature development and releases at software companies. After earnings, $200 is likely a magnet. x.com x.com x.com
Datadog's growth is slowing just as its valuation demands acceleration. Q2 beat on every major metric, with revenue up 36% to $1.12 billion and full-year guidance raised to $4.46 billion, yet Q3 guidance implies about 29% growth, new 100K+ ARR customers slowed to 170, and FCF margin fell from 28.7% to 24.9%. The AI story leans on OpenAI as its biggest customer, and the chance OpenAI builds more of its own observability remains an overhang. x.com
The more AI the world builds, the more data flows through Datadog. Revenue growth re-accelerated to 32% from 28%, the rarest signal in software in 2026. As the single pane of glass for cloud infrastructure, it monitors AI workloads that generate 10-100x more telemetry, with OpenAI, Anthropic and AWS using it for GPU clusters, token costs and model latency. AI-native revenue is about 12% of the total and growing triple digits, and expected revenue CAGR is 22%. x.com
Datadog shows AI is a tailwind for large mission-critical software platforms rather than a SaaS apocalypse, with revenue accelerating and customers buying more. It can charge outside AI agents a toll to access its data, volume likely to grow 100x in 12-24 months; it sells its own SRE agent for automated root-cause analysis; and it has become a top security company in a fast-growing AI security market. Like web to mobile, AI rewards the best software firms. x.com
Datadog's multiple, not its earnings, is the problem: at a P/E in the 600s, it only works if growth keeps accelerating for the next eight quarters. x.com x.com
Datadog is capturing most of the new telemetry data tax from AI, disproving fears that AI would monitor itself or that LLM costs would eat observability budgets. AI workloads generate 1,000% more telemetry than legacy apps, revenue growth re-accelerated to 32% from 25%, and OpenAI and Anthropic are foundational clients. Billings grew 37% and RPO 51% to $3.48B, de-risking the next three quarters, and net revenue retention is back in the low 120s. At a 30%+ pace, $250 is next before year-end. … Show more
Datadog looks primed to rebound from its pullback after a string of analyst upgrades and price-target raises, and Bank of America named it one of its top five stocks for the second half of 2026. x.com
Datadog faces a tough setup into its print at 25x sales, a valuation that demands a big beat and raise. It will probably beat and the chart is decent, but the setup remains tough even as BofA calls it a top pick into Q2 with a $305 target. x.com x.com
Datadog's 15% drop on slower Q3 guidance looks like a buying opportunity, with the long-term thesis intact. Revenue rose 36% to $1.1 billion, but its largest AI customer renewed a nine-figure contract while cutting usage, showing the downside of consumption pricing and one frontier AI account's weight on growth. The broader business keeps strengthening: non-AI revenue is accelerating into the high-20% range, enterprise bookings more than doubled and customers are adopting more of the platform. … Show more