artisanwill
Equity & Options Trader, Analyst at The Option Cartel, MS Finance
JPMorgan looks remarkably cheap against nearly every other bank despite being the best of them. Its forward P/E looks to be around 13. x.comÂ
Banks' weak response to earnings despite low expectations warrants caution into the rest of Q3 reporting. JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Goldman Sachs all fell after mixed results, while the bank ETF also declined. x.comÂ
JPMorgan's miss on both revenue and earnings strengthens the case for avoiding bank and financial stocks. The earlier bank-index chart rollover had suggested possible profit disappointment, but the observed JPMorgan share weakness is not a near-term price forecast. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Bank stocks look buyable if systematic selling is reacting to a flatter yield curve: the front end that drives earnings has barely moved. JPMorgan and Citi card spending rose 10% and 13%, and Citi and Wells Fargo reported lower credit losses. Wells expects steady margins and improving interest income as loans grow and old fixed-rate assets roll into higher yields. Funds crowded into banks before results, limiting near-term buyers. x.comÂ
US financials could lead the market into year-end if the Fed signals at the upcoming FOMC that rates will stay higher for longer, as expected. The financial sector is breaking out on the weekly chart, and banks such as JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America are quietly reclaiming trend and pushing toward new highs. x.comÂ
JPMorgan should ultimately go lower, but the near term looks less favorable for a bearish bet. Q1 metals-trading earnings are likely to be very profitable, and proposed rules easing large-bank capital requirements show regulators trying to protect big banks like JPMorgan. European financials are a safer place for the bearish view for now. x.comÂ
JPMorgan stock has tended to bottom and return to all-time highs whenever CEO Jamie Dimon says he wouldn't buy stocks, and per @PolymarketMoney he just said it again. x.comÂ
JPMorgan is the only bank worth adding to a portfolio, mainly because of its CEO, and it just delivered a great quarter. x.comÂ
AI savings agents threaten the deposit spread behind the four largest US banks' profits. Per a Jefferies report, UK firm Riff's agent automatically moves money out of zero-interest accounts; if it scales, such balances could fall 80% and deposit margins from 190 to about 20 basis points, a hit near 80% of major UK bank profits. JPMorgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citigroup earned $69B of net interest income last quarter, over double their profits. Jefferies calls it 'when, not if'. x.com … Show more
Goldman Sachs's meager roughly 4.8% implied earnings move and past positive reactions make a relief bounce plausible after a 25% slide. Long seen as a top-tier bank, it is among its peers' worst performers this year; shares rose after 8 of its last 11 earnings reports, including a 9% jump last time that doubled the implied move. Earnings are Tuesday before the open. x.comÂ