Domestic critical-minerals stocks CRML, MP Materials, USA Rare Earth and ALOY look attractive here, following a White House fact sheet on the sector. x.com
TJ
Stock/Options Trader, Volume at Support/Resistance, Publisher of Volume Stocks Newsletter
Domestic rare-earth and critical-mineral supply chains will make this stock group a generational wealth builder this year. REalloys has Army negotiations and an EXIM letter of interest; USA Rare Earth is developing a mine-to-magnet chain; MP Materials is expanding into magnets; Energy Fuels processes rare earths; and Lithium Americas is advancing Thacker Pass with GM and DOE support. REalloys paid to be included in this list. x.com x.com x.com
US government backing and China's roughly 90% control of the global heavy-metals and rare-earth market make USA Rare Earth an easy hold. Its projected 2030 revenue is $2.6 billion, and most stocks in the basket trade at 20-30x sales. It is especially an easy hold near the log 0.786 Fibonacci level, with weekly RSI at 30. x.com
USA Rare Earth, Energy Fuels and MP Materials are a pass for now because whale accumulation on their weekly charts is gradually decreasing. They are not a favored setup yet. x.com
USA Rare Earth's domestic production is becoming indispensable as the US and its allies build rare-earth supply chains independent of China. China controls most refining, separation, alloying and processing, and Western samarium-cobalt capacity, vital for fighter jets and missiles, is very limited. Governments will subsidize the buildout: in January 2026 the company signed a letter of intent with Commerce for a $1.6 billion package, giving the government equity. $17-20 is the buy zone. x.com
US rare-earth and critical-mineral stocks could benefit from up to $1.6B of US investment in a domestic supply chain, even as heavy rare-earth stocks crash. USA Rare Earth is building a US mine-to-magnet chain including dysprosium and terbium; MP Materials is expanding into heavy rare-earth separation, alloys and magnets; Energy Fuels is expanding US separation; Critical Metals is developing Greenland's Tanbreez; NioCorp and American Resources are building US critical-mineral projects. x.com … Show more
MP Materials, USA Rare Earth, Energy Fuels and American Resources should benefit as rare earths become vital to the coming robotics revolution and the US has a national security incentive to break China's stranglehold at every chokepoint from mining to magnets. If robotics demand explodes, margins should rise as revenue scales, then cash flow expands as buildout capex drops. MP and USA Rare Earth are nearing scaled commercialization in the early 2030s; a buy-and-hold into the next decade. x.com … Show more
Rare earth and critical mineral names MP Materials, Energy Fuels, Critical Metals and United States Antimony have pulled back into a good buying zone after a big run, as attention shifts toward physical AI and robots. The Trump sons just invested in a tungsten company, and SemiAnalysis is flagging how important rare earths will be over the next few years. They remain weak short term. MP is the safest, with a government investment and its role as Apple's largest rare earths supplier. x.com
USA Rare Earth posted $1.75B of cash after a Q1 beat, and Pentagon capital at that scale points to a construction schedule rather than a research grant for its first US mine-to-magnet refinery. China processes 85% of global rare earths, and terbium and dysprosium, used in EV motors and missile guidance, are not mined or refined elsewhere at scale. MP Materials' Mountain Pass mine feeds upstream ore, and Energy Fuels re-rates if USA Rare Earth proves the refinery model works. x.com
MP Materials' real market is the slice of rare earths China is legally locked out of, which MP owns almost by default. Buy America rules on magnets, tariffs and CFIUS wall Chinese refiners, which control 85% of refining, off US defense and OEM supply. MP runs the only operating US rare earth mine plus a magnet line, and the DoD price floor and 10-year offtake add share. At 33x EV/sales it is rich but prices a near-monopoly; the bull case is $90-100 as Fort Worth magnet revenue lands. x.com
Aeluma, USA Rare Earth and MP Materials have the same government-backed setup that drove Intel up 600% after the US took a 10% stake, giving each 7–10x potential. Aeluma signed a letter of intent for CHIPS Act money in exchange for a government equity stake. Commerce is backing pre-revenue USA Rare Earth with $1.6B for up to 16% as it builds America's only heavy rare earth mine-to-magnet chain. The Pentagon owns 15% of MP Materials, the only fully integrated US rare earth producer. x.com x.com