MP Materials' real market is the slice of rare earths China is legally locked out of, which MP owns almost by default. Buy America rules on magnets, tariffs and CFIUS wall Chinese refiners, which control 85% of refining, off US defense and OEM supply. MP runs the only operating US rare earth mine plus a magnet line, and the DoD price floor and 10-year offtake add share. At 33x EV/sales it is rich but prices a near-monopoly; the bull case is $90-100 as Fort Worth magnet revenue lands. x.comÂ



