Miyamoto
Crypto Trader, Former Investment Banker
Bitcoin and crypto are showing bull-market resilience, holding up relatively well despite a stock pullback, the Iran war and plenty of macro uncertainty. GCR's rule is that it is a bull market when bad news fails to sink prices, and that kind of resilience is usually a bullish sign. The bull run still looks to be in its early stages. x.com
Bitcoin's bottom is in, with a smooth ride into the $80Ks ahead as capital rotates back into crypto. Bitcoin and crypto have underperformed almost everything for too long, while the AI and broader equities trade looks increasingly crowded and its momentum is starting to cool. Over the next few months that rotation should further fuel an on-chain season already brewing on Solana. x.com
Crypto still has room to rise because institutional adoption is accelerating and good altcoins remain underowned globally. Traditional finance is bringing assets onchain, and progress since five years ago makes it impossible to be bearish. Bitcoin looks stronger than overstretched altcoins and has shaken off severe bad news; more chop or shakeouts could come before the market moves higher. x.com
Bitcoin's recovery can continue because the crypto market has been little affected by uncertainty and its worst days are behind it. At this stage Bitcoin resembles gold in early 2025, with crypto recovering from its bottom and moving upward. x.com
Bitcoin may need sustained demand above all to outweigh selling pressure, since even favorable catalysts have coincided with declines. BTC fell despite rate cuts, a pro-crypto president, institutional adoption and rising liquidity; it now faces rate hikes, war in Iran, inflation, AI-bubble fears, quantum risks and AI-driven crypto hacks. x.com
Bitcoin and ether’s resilience despite months of speculative capital being disintegrated may be a tell. They are the investments to hold or add, not trade. x.com x.com
Crypto's Wild West reputation creates market inefficiencies and, therefore, great opportunity. It looks to have decoupled from stocks over the past year, though the risky narrative persists. x.com
Bitcoin and ether liquidity is fleeing to AI and the SpaceX IPO, leaving crypto, the darling of 2020-2021, with no bid. The timeline now chases AI the way it chased crypto in 2021, which looks like Magnetar 2.0. Crypto has led markets for a long time and may be leading again, so it may be time to take profits. x.com x.com
Crypto's coming run will be much larger than 2020's because stock-market and gold runs into 2026 exceeded those into 2020. Bitcoin's and Ethereum's runs into 2025 also exceeded those into 2019. Macro-risk ratios across stocks, metals, oil, PMI and crypto again resemble 2016 and 2020, positioning Bitcoin, Ethereum and altcoins for a major bull run. Focus on 2027-28; the one-year median altcoin return against Bitcoin is still -17.5%. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com
Bitcoin looks interesting because crypto has not joined the stock bull run, leaving sentiment quiet while the setup starts to make sense. The aim is to avoid chasing what has already run the hardest. x.com
Bitcoin is unlikely to stage a 2020-style V-shaped recovery because crypto keeps competing with AI for capital, and the flows have clearly gone to equities, especially AI names. The 2020 rebound followed a pandemic, a doubling of the money supply, rate cuts and stimulus checks; today global liquidity is at a record, but rates could rise. Bitcoin may still be a great buy here. @Bobby_1111888 argues the macro backdrop is the most 2020-like since then and the AI headwind may be turning. x.com x.com
Bitcoin's upside needs lower oil and inflation and stronger risk appetite; that macro shift has not arrived. IBIT holding 46.3 is a good sign, and its topping short-term cycle is not a deal killer. x.com
