Chris
Engineer & Entrepreneur, Equity/Crypto Swing Trader, Macro & Trade Setups
Credo's near-total share of AI data-center cables and unchanged estimates make its lower multiple look like a fear-driven opportunity. Its stock went from 27x to 20x forward earnings while the supply chain building those systems guided 2027 revenue to double. Buyers this week will probably be very happy a year from now. x.comÂ
Credo could be at an optimal entry point after falling more than 25% in a week despite a good earnings report the market seemingly disliked. It provides critical AI infrastructure connectivity that moves data very fast between clusters, and is projected to grow extremely quickly for the next few years. x.comÂ
Credo Technology's customer concentration is a hidden leverage risk investors underestimate. With four customers driving nearly all sales and two above 60%, Credo has little bargaining power if a hyperscaler demands lower prices, delays deployments, dual-sources or spends less, and any change could crush the stock. The AI boom hides this until growth normalizes. The business, economics and balance sheet are excellent and the valuation reasonable; much depends on how long the AI buildout lasts. … Show more
Credo's MicroVCSEL offers upside that does not appear priced in. Its copper and optics exposure, a SpaceX tailwind and fundamentals that look too good for its current valuation make it one of the tidiest AI infrastructure investments. x.comÂ
Credo's growth rate is too hard to ignore, making it a coiled spring and another way to play AI beyond Nvidia and Nebius. The stock is still expensive but much more reasonably valued, though it may be early to buy. x.com x.comÂ
Credo's upside looks capped as growth falls short of earlier expectations and large stock-based compensation, hidden behind GAAP financials, looks excessive. BofA cut its target to $275 from $340 and Evercore to $292 from $325 on deceleration worries, the 1.6T DSP is delayed, and operating cash flow fell to $90M. The stock is 43% off its high; at $164 it trades at 30-33x FY27 earnings and 13x forward sales, more reasonable but still not worth owning. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Credo remains a long-held bullish position two years on, built on high-speed connectivity products that data centers need for AI, cloud and high-performance networking. Its Active Electrical Cables integrate electronics to boost signal strength over short to medium distances, and its optical DSPs cover speeds from 100G to 1.6T, addressing growing demand for faster data transfer. x.comÂ
Credo Technology sits right in the middle of the AI networking, connectivity and photonics theme, and Wall Street has just handed over an easy opportunity in it. The AI connectivity thesis keeps playing out across photonics, with FY26 revenue up 206% at 68% non-GAAP gross margins. x.comÂ
These ten companies span every layer of AI capex, which Goldman sees surging to $1.2 trillion in 2027, so each should make money. Credo, Broadcom, Micron, Nvidia, TSMC, AMD and Amkor cover connectivity, custom chips, memory, GPUs, foundry and packaging; Broadcom expects AI revenue of about $115B in fiscal 2027. Vistra supplies power under 20-year nuclear contracts. IREN and Nebius rent AI compute, with Nebius targeting $7-9B run-rate revenue by year end. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com … Show more
Credo is a solid company whose low-power interconnects between AI servers become more necessary as AI compute grows. If microLED technology actually lands and improves optical module efficiency and density, its moat could get stronger. Filling the chart gap, or even a pullback to the 200-day moving average, would be a good buying opportunity, though Astera Labs was preferred when the two were compared. x.com x.comÂ