Joestar
Crypto Analyst, DeFi Analytics Tools Builder, Perpetuals & Tokenization
Aster looks like a BNB special: it would be about 70% lower if CZ were not burning cash to keep it propped up for vanity reasons. x.comÂ
Aster's increased buyback and burn, now using 99% of daily platform fees, means little because its revenue was exposed as inflated by insider wash trading rather than real users. That wash trading pushed it into rankings alongside Hyperliquid, and the protocol is not even listed among revenue-tracked protocols on DefiLlama. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Aster remains one of the most undervalued DEX and privacy coins, with a bottomed-out chart ready to run back to previous all-time highs. It still generates over $200K a day in revenue, which should grow in a good market. Its dark pools make it the only DEX where traders can size perps without getting hunted, it is backed by Binance, and it lists attention tokens faster than anyone. x.comÂ
Aster's ceiling looks low because its rival Hyperliquid has captured TradFi and real-world assets, leaving Aster to bet on small-cap, high-volatility crypto. That is a self-downgrade: this cycle has had no broad altseason, and even future 10x or 100x hot spots tend to draw one-wave capital and users with poor stickiness, as with NFTs and inscriptions. Even with Binance and CZ as a floor, the gap with the leader will likely widen, and its founder seems to lack confidence. x.com x.comÂ
Aster's token supply overhang sank it, and its fixes come too late. ASTER is down 75% from its high even though it once beat Hyperliquid in trading volume; Hyperliquid had 5x more open interest. Only 32% of its 8B max supply is unlocked. Aster has cut emissions by 97% and started buybacks, the right move but too late. x.comÂ
Aster Chain's mainnet should give ASTER real utility and a more sustainable token model, a setup similar to HYPE. After launch, ASTER is expected to serve as gas, governance and a staking token yielding roughly 5-10% from protocol fees, while emissions wind down and up to 80% of platform fees go to buyback and burn. The chain encrypts orders to hide size, direction and liquidation levels, positioning Aster as a privacy-first alternative to Hyperliquid. x.com x.comÂ
Hyperliquid has no real second-best competitor, while Aster's valuation has expanded even as its fundamentals deteriorated. Per DefiLlama data, Hyperliquid's TVL is up 19% this year to $4.9 billion while Aster's fell 28% to $853 million, and Aster's open interest fell 34% versus 7% for Hyperliquid. Hyperliquid returned $186 million to token holders in Q1 versus about $12 million for Aster, yet Aster trades at 19.7x fees against 11.1x and faces unlocks. HIP-3 has shown Hyperliquid's resilience. … Show more
Hyperliquid, Aerodrome and Sky generate revenue and will be rerated as crypto returns to fundamentals, even as Bitcoin's price action is unnerving. These tokens make money and reallocate it back to holders; projects without revenue, a real path to it, good tokenomics or institutional appeal will be stuck in the old era. x.comÂ
Aster is a bet on CZ's ego rather than on the DEX itself, and the ego of crypto's richest man isn't priced in at all. x.comÂ
Bear-market conditions make category-leading tokens with cash flow, real usage and macro relevance worth accumulating in stages. Bitcoin has flushed to $58-61k near its 200-week average, fear sits at 17, and stress at treasury firms like Strategy signals late-downtrend selling, though a Fed without 2026 cuts rules out a V-shaped recovery. Favored: buyback or burn tokens HYPE, ASTER, JUP, SKY, UNI and PUMP; fee-sharing AAVE, MET and PENDLE; ETH as the core; TAO and VIRTUAL for AI; ONDO for RWAs. … Show more