Andy
Co-Founder of The Rollup & The Rollup Ventures
Institutional allocators will hit crypto majors hard from Tuesday's market open through next week, then likely buy with massive size over the coming months. That is the basic pattern of the institutional bull cycle, so bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Hyperliquid and Chainlink are worth owning before it starts. x.com x.comÂ
Ether and other altcoins that benefit from clearer rules could keep outperforming ahead of the CLARITY Act, because clearer US rules on tokens and crypto businesses would give investors more confidence. As with the long wait for bitcoin ETF approval, anticipation alone can drive a rally before passage, and strength in LIT and ETH against bitcoin suggests traders are betting on good news. A delay could hurt short term, but if passage still looks likely, the anticipation trade should persist. … Show more
ETH looks desperate to go higher and benefits most if the Clarity Act passes. Surprise progress, helped by an ethics agreement, could pass it this year if tomorrow's cloture vote wins a majority, though much must go right and prediction markets still price it as unlikely. A hike at Wednesday's FOMC, likely dovish and one-and-done, would clear the last bad news. BTC and ETH have reset indicators by chopping after legging up. Even if a deeper wick comes first, dips are for buying. x.comÂ
ICE's planned US perps access could grow Hyperliquid's users, volume and revenue, but that growth may already be priced into HYPE. CFTC approval, a launch and actual US adoption are still needed; even then, extra fees and buybacks must beat expectations. ICE backing, Druckenmiller investing and Elon tweeting have made the story widespread. The easy HYPE trade looks over for average retail investors, though this call could be early. x.com x.comÂ
Bitcoin gains a major legitimacy signal from ICE's involvement in a Hyperliquid futures venture, giving prospective buyers cover to invest. Per @standuquesne, trade.xyz is partnering with ICE to bring 24/7 perpetual futures on Hyperliquid to the US. Despite nonstop bad headlines keeping price near $80k, crypto fundamentals are improving; bitcoin may need only time, even if it chops or dips to $76k first. x.com x.comÂ
Bitcoin has asymmetric upside into tomorrow's Clarity Act vote, with odds at 50/50: passage would likely bring a god candle, with on-chain assets following, while failure would be a nothingburger since passage isn't priced in. Everyone is de-risking ahead of the vote. The bull market is in its early innings. x.comÂ
XRP and bitcoin face a crowded sideline as the CLARITY Act crypto bill stalls, with passage now more likely pushed to 2027. Senate Majority Leader Thune skipped the bill's cloture vote, filing on college sports instead, and no vote is coming before recess. Senator Elizabeth Warren says corruption, consumer protection and national-security concerns must be resolved first, calling the bill an industry giveaway. Adoption, though, does not stop because of politics. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
ICE and trade[XYZ]'s planned 24/7 US perps venue could widen Hyperliquid's buyer pool. It needs CFTC approval; ICE is investing in trade[XYZ], and Druckenmiller is also joining. Per the FT, his spokesperson confirmed his post was authentic. Druckenmiller and Elon green-lighting HYPE signals TradFi allocators. Crypto natives remain underallocated due to short time horizons; HYPE is the first investable altcoin in history not reliant on belief in a monetary premium. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Hyperliquid's credibility and distribution can compound because every credible institution or investor that steps in makes it easier for the next. Per trade[XYZ], it and ICE plan a U.S. market built on Hyperliquid, subject to CFTC approval. Traditional finance generated exceptional social proof in a single day for a platform with a working product, product-market fit and real revenue. This could be a defining moment, though it might also be euphoria. x.com x.comÂ
Zcash's price is running ahead of its usage, so this rally is not one to buy yet. ZEC is becoming the privacy coin Wall Street can buy, as Grayscale works to turn its trust holding 2.3% of supply into an NYSE-listed ETF, and Flexa and CrossPay add spending options. But after a 68% weekly jump to about $14B, nearly twice Monero, the ETF is not live, the 200K ZEC contribution has not happened and fees were about $2K in a day. A live ETF, real inflows and a held pullback would change the view. … Show more
Zcash and Hyperliquid could face less selling pressure because they have newer, stronger narratives than NEAR and fewer holders waiting to sell at breakeven. Their appeal this cycle rests on narrative and hype; they look like this cycle's Ether and Solana. x.com x.com x.comÂ