Altcoins have a stronger cycle setup because the Fed’s balance sheet has been growing again after shrinking from 2023 to 2025, when alts lagged Bitcoin. Improving risk ratios point the same way. The outlook is not certain: the author assigns 50% odds to chop, 40% to outperformance and 10% to a decline. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Crypto's coming run will be much larger than 2020's because stock-market and gold runs into 2026 exceeded those into 2020. Bitcoin's and Ethereum's runs into 2025 also exceeded those into 2019. Macro-risk ratios across stocks, metals, oil, PMI and crypto again resemble 2016 and 2020, positioning Bitcoin, Ethereum and altcoins for a major bull run. Focus on 2027-28; the one-year median altcoin return against Bitcoin is still -17.5%. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Weak liquidity and insufficient buying pressure leave altcoins vulnerable to another liquidation wave. Many sit near support while selling pressure persists, so even a small selloff could trigger liquidations; a bounce is still possible, but the bottom is not convincing yet. A further major drop would offer better entries in bitcoin, ether, Pendle and Bittensor, whose long-term potential remains intact. x.com 

The first leg of an altcoin season is starting while bitcoin is not at an all-time high, and the disbelief once people realize it will fuel even more momentum in altcoins such as Hyperliquid, Bittensor, Chainlink and Sui. Like the late-2017 to 2018 altcoin season, it should end within a very short period. The base case is a bitcoin top around $90-93K, with a best case extending to $98-100K. x.com 

Crypto assets should reprice upward as purchasing power falls and nearly everything else costs more. Tokenization is still in its earliest stage and should reward patient investment in projects positioned to capture it; an altcoin portfolio centered on Ethereum and value-accrual tokens, with some Robinhood and Arc exposure, should outperform nearly everything over six to twelve months. Robinhood and Arc chains may drive much of the broader altcoin expansion. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

ETH and SOL will struggle to stage independent narrative-driven rallies because US stocks are siphoning capital, leaving even Bitcoin short of heat and new demand. For a risk-averse investor favoring certainty over high odds, BNB and HYPE are the only higher-certainty choices besides Bitcoin, and both have outperformed it in this bear market. ETH and SOL are not bad assets, and they could get their chance once Bitcoin rises. x.com  x.com 

Larger altcoins such as Sui, Solana and XRP are drawing renewed appetite now that bitcoin has triggered a market uptrend and crypto sentiment is back in greed. Sui is up 74%, Solana 41% and XRP 39%. x.com 

Institutional participation could make the coming altcoin cycle bigger than any before it, including 2017. Ethereum has broken its long-term downtrend against bitcoin and is retesting support, bolstering confidence in that setup. x.com 

The era of buying Ether or Solana to make money looks over, as money circulates among smaller tokens while the majors stay flat. First Robinhood's chain and now Arc have drawn the flows. Even whether ETH and SOL are safe havens is debatable, since the top 100 shows these patterns will change. x.com 

Widespread doom-posting on FinX and terrible sentiment usually mark a bottom for Bitcoin and altcoins. On that contrarian signal, Bitcoin, Strive, Strategy and altcoins look set for a pretty fun week. x.com