Oil will come down significantly, because Trump will eventually make a deal with Iran and put the conflict to bed. x.com 

Israel's and the US's upcoming elections may discourage further escalation, opening a path to peace and a sharp drop in oil if the war cools. Israel votes October 27 and the US November 3; lower oil would give crypto room to recover. x.com 

Crude oil and the XLE energy-sector ETF would be buys on a pullback because uncertainty over a real military strike could hang over the US market from the midterms through year-end. Only an actual strike or a true peace deal would settle that uncertainty. x.com 

Crude oil's mid-term trend should turn lower sooner or later, a shift that would line up with a final ceasefire deal. Despite short-term volatility, prices are still distributing around the higher-timeframe resistance that marked the 2022 macro top. x.com 

Crude oil should calm as US-Iran de-escalation gathers real momentum. Trump says a peace deal is coming Sunday; Iran is playing its usual timeline games, but de-escalation would bring oil down and give markets the green light. x.com 

Oil traders anticipate a resumption of the Iran war after the midterm elections, favoring more upside for crude oil. After a bullish reversal off its 10-week moving average, the odds favor a continuation of the rally to the $110-120 range. x.com 

Crude oil should fall back into the $60s and likely well below over time once the Iran war is resolved. Middle East producers are overproducing but cannot export the barrels, so when the Strait fully reopens they will flood the market. Oil tried to break down from its trend line but was rejected, and bigger resolution news is likely needed to push it much lower. Cheaper oil would remove current inflation fears, setting up a deflationary boom. x.com  x.com 

Oil prices should drop further as the Iran conflict winds down, which will likely make the Fed more dovish. x.com 

Oil should rise and stocks fall over the next two weeks as the Iran war escalates further. Trump ordered the military not to carry out planned strikes on Iran, per Axios, yet the conflict looks set to intensify. Megacap earnings probably won't save the market, since it is punishing negative free cash flow. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Oil looks set to fall whichever way the Iran war goes. If it escalates, the US takes over Iran's oil; if it de-escalates, the US says Iran wants to talk. x.com  x.com