Beaten-down consumer discretionary names offer good short-term risk-adjusted upside as oil falls and Middle East turmoil eases. The sector is up just 4% this year due to higher oil. Take-Two has pent-up demand for Grand Theft Auto VI in November 2026; Disney should gain from lower gas prices since about half its theme park guests drive; TKO is hurt by fewer Middle East events but helped by the World Cup, where its On Location unit sells hospitality tickets. Pullbacks should stay near 5%. x.com x.comÂ