A US military-budget increase would be well-timed for defense stocks as most appear to be bottoming or sitting on support. If history repeats, one will probably be announced soon. Since the earlier sell signals, Amprius is down about 42%, AeroVironment about 60% and Ondas about 54%; many other names also look oversold. x.com 

Defense, drone and space stocks such as AST SpaceMobile, Rocket Lab, Planet Labs, Kratos and AeroVironment are set to receive non-cyclical, perpetual capex while many sit 60%-70% below their highs. Spending is rising in the US and across the rest of the world, flowing to names that are not crowded or recently up 1,000%. The sector has reset and been left for dead, making it a target basket for next year, including Ondas, LightPath, nLight, Karman and Inflection Point. x.com  x.com 

Legacy defense primes such as Lockheed Martin, RTX and Northrop Grumman are losing work as counter-drone contracts go to newer software-defined systems. The US deployment of Anduril's counter-drone system for homeland defense shows a company that did not exist a decade ago doing what legacy air-defense primes used to own outright. The trade is that reallocation inside flat-to-modest budgets, not the budget number itself. x.com 

Defense stocks such as Kratos, AeroVironment, Ondas, Northrop Grumman and L3Harris are trading as if global leaders had turned into pacifist hippies, which is probably not the case. x.com 

Public defense stocks look mispriced because demand and private valuations are rising while their shares fall 20%. Anduril raised $5 billion at $61 billion, about 28x sales, while Ondas trades near 5x with a comparable counter-drone stack. The five primes' backlog rose 23.7% to $1.36 trillion, and the Pentagon's FY2027 request has $75 billion for drones and counter-drone tech. Peace rotates spending rather than ending it, and as in the 1990s, a bear market should spur small-cap consolidation. … Show more

AeroVironment, Kratos, Axon, Lockheed Martin and Palantir win as the FY2027 defense budget is projected at $1.5 trillion, about $400 billion above this year. AeroVironment's revenue rose 143% with a record $1.1B funded backlog as the Pentagon orders Switchblade drones by the thousands. Kratos has a record $2B backlog for low-cost autonomous jets. Axon's revenue rose 34% with $14.3B in future bookings. Lockheed's backlog hit $186.4B. Palantir is the AI software layer under autonomous warfare. … Show more

Lockheed Martin is the straightforward defense buy, with a 3.2x book-to-bill. The stock fell last quarter because capex rose to meet very high demand, a dumb reaction. @kaizen_cap adds that money from awarded contracts flows over multiple years, so peak awards and revenue recognition may come in 2027-2028 even with a flat budget. x.com  x.com 

Defense spending of $1-1.5 trillion and rising NATO budgets are the theme of the decade, making Palantir, Lockheed Martin, RTX, Northrop Grumman and L3Harris the top five defense stocks to own. Palantir is the purest defense-AI play: Q4 revenue jumped 70%, free cash flow reached $2.27B, and a $448M Navy shipbuilding modernization contract shows its government pipeline accelerating. At 232 times earnings, it is priced as the operating system for modern warfare, not a contractor. x.com 

Lockheed Martin's $4.7 billion Patriot interceptor contract shows a defense supercycle whose backlog Wall Street has not fully priced. Patriot is the backbone of US and allied air defense, countries are asking how fast they can get one, and more contracts are behind this one. Defense budgets are accelerating globally with bipartisan political will, and governments rarely cut them once they start; the money also flows down to suppliers. x.com  x.com 

Defense money is rotating into next-generation drone makers such as AeroVironment and Red Cat, not just legacy plays like Lockheed's F-35, after NATO members pledged 5% of GDP to defense, roughly a second U.S. military budget. x.com