AMD, NVIDIA, Micron, TSMC and Alphabet, ranked in that order, are top stock picks because they combine high growth, low valuation metrics, low marginal cost and high profitability. x.com
John Tinsman
Founder of AOT Invest, Portfolio Manager of AOTG/AOTS ETFs
Low PEG ratios and continuing AI demand make leading AI stocks attractive after rolling corrections. Nvidia is at 0.39x PEG, Amazon 0.64x, Broadcom 0.66x, Micron 0.73x, Oracle 0.59x and TSMC 0.41x. This usually signals at least a local bottom, possibly a major one; midterm-year seasonality helps into year-end. Nvidia, Broadcom and Amazon remain favorites; Micron and TSMC look buyable on dips. Low PEG can mislead if growth slows or estimates are wrong. x.com
John Tinsman's screen for profitable large caps in high-growth sectors with low valuations makes Nvidia, Micron, Sandisk, Broadcom, Meta and Alphabet buys. Tinsman expects downside volatility in growth and tech while seeking to retain their upside potential. x.com
NVIDIA, Broadcom, Micron and TSMC should be worth less because AI risk has risen while the expected reward has not. The CEOs of Anthropic, OpenAI, SpaceX and Tesla have said AI risks killing all humans and needs to slow down, yet not a single analyst cut ratings or price targets on these chipmakers. In game-theory terms, higher risk with the same reward makes the bet worse. x.com
AI infrastructure bottlenecks could give eight stocks as much as 18x upside. Nvidia supplies frontier-model GPUs; Broadcom and Marvell supply custom silicon and networking; TSMC makes advanced chips; Micron supplies sold-out HBM; Vertiv provides power and cooling; Palantir monetizes enterprise AI; Alphabet spans TPUs, research, cloud and apps. The list tracks where AI infrastructure spending is flowing. x.com x.com
Semiconductor leaders look better placed than high-beta stocks with poor company models. TSMC, ASML, Nvidia and memory should lead the sector and belong in the buy basket, with Broadcom not far behind. The CPU basket is only a hold: much of its upside was priced in during Intel and AMD's run. x.com
Micron, Intel, AMD, Tesla and SanDisk look overextended and due for a pullback because their share prices have outpaced earnings over five years, and stocks follow EPS over time, as Peter Lynch said. Price versus EPS growth: Micron +1,071% vs +758%, Intel +97% vs -112%, AMD +453% vs -5%, Tesla +78% vs +7%, and SanDisk +4,746% vs +717%. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com
Improving earnings and more attractive valuations favor AI infrastructure names Nvidia, Micron, Broadcom and TSMC. Goldman Sachs charts put memory stocks at about 4 times two-year forward earnings versus an 8 times median, and large fabless chip stocks at about 13 times versus 18 times. x.com
These 12 stocks offer exposure to AI, automation, health care, consumer growth and nuclear demand. AMD makes AI chips; Oracle builds AI cloud; Vertex has multiple drug opportunities. Arista supplies data-center switches, KLA inspection tools and Cadence chip-design tools. Palantir sells AI platforms; Symbotic automates warehouses; Alphabet spans search, cloud and AI. Celsius has US consumer momentum, AppLovin runs high-margin mobile ads, and Cameco mines uranium and co-owns Westinghouse. x.com … Show more
AMD, Arm, Marvell and ON Semiconductor are ultra overvalued and stretched on the monthly timeframe, with no real fundamental change in sight. Their current price ranges may prove good areas for positional shorts into October 2026, in a midterm election year. x.com
The semiconductor sector's bloat makes selectivity important. Nvidia, TSMC and ASML are among the best businesses still worth owning, but not every name will recover from this month's selloff. Chasing unprofitable, highly leveraged small caps should be a lesson from the selloff. x.com