Apple's price tag isn't justified by its earnings growth or its lack of innovation. Analysts expect $153B of net income by 2028 versus $104B in 2024, roughly a 10% CAGR, so good returns need the elevated multiple to hold or rise toward 50x. Apple hasn't innovated since AirPods, Siri fumbled its door to AI, and its dominance rests on no one wanting to compete while consumer tastes shift fast, as BlackBerry showed. The stock isn't expected to crash, but likely won't rise over the next five years. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com