Zeta Global CEO David Steinberg's long-term target of $10B in core revenue at a 30% operating margin is not taken seriously, yet history suggests he is probably sandbagging again. That makes Zeta a stock to keep rather than sell anytime soon. x.comÂ
Finance Jack
Equity Research
Zeta Global is arguably still cheap after its massive run, at about 26x forward earnings for a software company growing organically in the high 20s. That assumes estimates are right, but analysts have been far off before, and forward guidance is sandbagged to leave out the Palantir deal. x.comÂ
Zeta Global could become a much larger company: at Zeta Live, executives with over $200 billion of decision-making power discussed what its keynote meant for their own companies, a firsthand sign of potential enterprise interest. Its 120% net dollar retention suggests existing customers get value, though future growth is uncertain. x.comÂ
Zeta Global's DCF model now matches its $52 technical target, reinforcing the case that it is undervalued. The stock broke out of a large bullish wedge, rising from $18 in May to $32 after holding the 200-week moving average and reclaiming the 50-week, and its fundamentals are among the strongest in the AI sector. x.comÂ
Zeta Global's CEO Steinberg doesn't seem trustworthy, on top of dilution and an unconvincing strategy and market position. Before Zeta he founded and ran InPhonic, which restated financials in 2007 over accounting errors, disclosed material control weaknesses, faced FTC action over deceptive rebates and investor lawsuits, and filed for Chapter 11 shortly after he sold millions in stock near the peak and stepped down. x.comÂ
Zeta Global's 20 straight beat-and-raise quarters, 44% Q2 revenue growth and new GAAP profitability support the bullish momentum call. The upper Bollinger Band trend puts the $38.20 all-time high within reach. x.comÂ
Zeta Global is too cheap and its re-rating should continue after a 20th straight beat and raise with improving margins. Revenue was $443M versus $421M expected, up 44%, and super-scaled customers rose 17% to 197. FY26 guidance rose to $1.81-1.82B revenue and $404.1-406.3M adjusted EBITDA, both above estimates. The 12% knee-jerk drop was unjustified. x.com x.comÂ
Zeta Global looks expensive at 52 times cash earnings, against the 30 times software companies usually get. Fair value sits at $16.62 to $21.15, based on 30 times next year's cash earnings give or take 12%, and the $32.63 price is 54% above the high end. That range leans on forecasts, with forward earnings 67% above trailing. This is a levels-only read off reported earnings and estimates, with no fundamental work. x.comÂ
Zeta Global's 74% institutional ownership of 181 million shares signals deliberate conviction from big money, which does not allocate at that level by accident. The payoff lies in patience: as Charlie Munger said, the big money is in the waiting. x.comÂ
Zeta Global looks cheap at about 2.9x forward sales while guiding 36-37% revenue growth, and could re-rate if seen as enterprise AI software rather than messy adtech. Q1 revenue rose 50% to $396M, and a Palantir partnership to rebuild its Data Cloud on Foundry could add over $100M of annual revenue in coming years. A July 6 Citi talk on its AI strategy is a near-term catalyst; 4.5x sales implies about $32. Risks include privacy issues, thin GAAP profit and customer concentration. x.comÂ
Zeta Global looks unappealing because, after years in business, it is supposed to be highly profitable but isn't, and the risk-reward is not great. It is not the kind of super-high-growth company in a hot sector worth favoring, though it could still outperform. A post the author replies to argues Zeta benefits from AI and posted a monster quarter yet trades as if it will fail. x.comÂ
Zeta Global's discount to software peers rests on temporary factors, and GAAP profitability in 2026 should open it to institutional buyers who cannot hold it today. Q1 2026 was its 19th straight beat-and-raise: revenue rose 50% to $396M and full-year guidance rose to 37% growth, with free cash flow outgrowing revenue. Yet it trades at 3.2x sales versus 4.3x for direct peers, below a $27.93 DCF value. The discount stems from a debunked 2024 short attack, GAAP losses and an unexciting story. x.comÂ