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Patient Investor

Real Estate Developer, Public & Private Equity Investor Since 2016

9 Jul, 14:03Latest

Micron's expanded US investment plan, now over $250 billion through 2035, strengthens its long-term position while near-term supply stays tight. The plan, up from about $200 billion over 20-plus years, came with the first concrete pour at its New York site more than a quarter early, where up to four fabs aim to make 40% of its DRAM in the US. None of it adds supply soon, with Idaho's first wafers due mid-2027, while revenue jumped over 4x to $41.5 billion and Micron pledges supply discipline. x.com

6 Jul, 15:18

Micron's supply agreement with Ford shows the memory shortage has moved well beyond AI data centers. The Ford deal is one of the 16 Strategic Customer Agreements disclosed in June, already inside their roughly $100 billion of minimum contracted revenue, so the news is the name: an automaker that lived through 2021 is locking in multi-year memory supply. Micron is expanding advanced DRAM at its Manassas, Virginia fab to keep auto supply domestic. It is confirmation rather than a fresh catalyst. x.com

Jason Luongo

Growth-Stock Options Trader, LEAPS & Income Strategies

22 Sep

Micron's forward picture is what matters, and it points to durable demand. Micron has guided a record $50B quarter at roughly 86% gross margin ahead of its September 30 report. Fourteen of its 16 take-or-pay customer agreements add up to about $100B of cumulative revenue at minimum prices. Management expects DRAM and NAND supply to stay tight beyond 2027, with the first Idaho fab producing wafers in mid-2027, the second in late 2028, and HBM4E targeted for 2027. x.com

Matt C

Cybersecurity Engineer, Bitcoin Background Since 2014

27 Oct

Micron's sold-out high-bandwidth memory through 2027+ and contracts already being signed for 2029-2030+ extend its earnings runway. At 5x forward earnings, it is cheaper than a year ago; its private Anthropic stake is about to be instantly rerated at Anthropic's IPO, and a new share buyback is expected to be announced Dec. 9. Micron could certainly gain 30% in three months. x.com x.com

Thierry from arvy

CFA, Co-Founder & CIO of arvy, Quality Investing

6 Jul

Micron is at its top because memory stocks peak when margins peak, well before the shortage flips to oversupply, expected by 2028. Memory is tech's most brutally cyclical business: shortage, record prices, margins and capex, then new capacity arrives at once and becomes a glut. Micron trades at record highs on record DRAM prices, with memory's biggest capex wave under construction. In past oversupply cycles it fell 90% in 2000, 80% in 2008, 50% in 2018 and 47% in 2022. x.com

Cole Grinde

Stock & Options Investor, Dividends/Value/Fundamentals, Tesla

23 Oct

Demand for Micron's products is through the roof, making its revenue surge only the beginning as it heads into 2027. The attached eight-quarter chart puts Q4 FY26 revenue at $54.2 billion, and Micron's gross margin is cited at 86%. A $100 billion revenue quarter could arrive in the not-so-distant future; the stock is a good bet here. x.com

Rosanna Prestia

Founder & CEO of Hydra Wealth/Capital, Investment Strategist, Asymmetry & Bitcoin

29 Oct

Micron's memory leadership remains intact because it is sold out into 2027. A red day does not change those fundamentals; anyone arguing it has topped must identify which part of demand breaks and when. x.com

Coinvo Trading

Full-Time Trader, Public Trade Commentary

14 Oct

Micron faces a severe crash risk from CXMT's current threat and apparent investor complacency after a euphoric high. If the Wall St Cheat Sheet fits, most of Micron's gains across 40 years, amassed in just one year, could be erased soon. Earlier, Elon Musk said Micron had been reasonable on future memory prices; memory stocks were not yet to be faded. x.com x.com

Monis

Equities Trader, Oversold Reversals & Earnings Plays

16 Oct

A memory-industry shortage adds demand support to Micron's long-term case. With next-twelve-month revenue growth estimated at 91.4% and forward free cash flow cited at 122B, Micron is the best long-term investment right now on the numbers and demand, ahead of the Tesla and Nebius alternatives discussed. x.com

CMS Invests

Technology Investor, Options Trader, Finance at Kalshi

22 Oct

Micron could benefit if memory demand remains strong through 2029. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said he sees no sign of demand slowing by then and that "you can always use more." x.com

GrowthTurtle

Data Science PhD & IEEE Fellow, Ex-Two Sigma

1 Oct

Micron's own guidance suggests the memory recovery comes later than consensus thinks. Its CFO guided to rising margins through fiscal 2027 alongside a more moderate pace of price increases, and Micron said it has no line of sight to when supply and demand will return to balance. x.com x.com

qinbafrank

AI/Crypto/TMT Investor, Global Liquidity & Macro, Cycle-Based Investing

1 Oct

Micron's long-term contracts make its earnings far more durable, so profit growth should keep lifting the stock even without a rerating. Unfulfilled orders reached $150B from $100B; 26 long-term agreements cover over 35% of revenue through 2030, and about $32B of commitments, mostly cash deposits, cover over 75% of 2027 shipments. At about 14x FY2026 and 7x FY2027 earnings, a rerating needs stronger downstream AI monetization or tighter supply; Micron alone cannot validate the AI trade. x.com

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