Hermès' leather business underpins its resilience because it is the category the company controls most. Its most impressive Q3 result was about 10% organic leather growth while peers struggled; overall growth was 4.3% in Q3 and 5.5% over nine months despite challenges in the Middle East, China and France. The valuation pays for mid-single-digit growth when few luxury peers are growing, with somewhat less upside in a boom. x.com  x.com 

Ferrari, Hermès and LVMH are the perfect anti-AI investments because the rich, and those who want to be rich, love these brands. x.com 

Ferrari is less attractive to own now because its Luce numbers look increasingly underwhelming and prices are already being cut. The company and brand remain appealing, but the money could work better elsewhere. x.com 

Ferrari's buyers are rich people, and rich people never go through a recession. The stock just hit its highest level since November 2025. x.com 

Ferrari got cheaper while its moat got deeper, which could make it an excellent pick for a 10-year-plus horizon. Its multiple fell from 60x in 2020 to 30x even as EBITDA margin rose from 29% to 40%, ROE reached 42% and its quality score hit 98/100, the best in global autos. The derating reflects expected revenue growth of about 6% a year through 2028, half the historical pace, because management deliberately capped volume to protect scarcity, leaving only price increases to drive growth. x.com 

Hermès and LVMH are a tough long pitch at about 30x earnings while the luxury slump stays broad-based. Per alphaportai, LVMH's business units are struggling across spirits, leather goods and perfume. Hermès is a little better and looks to be taking some share in leather goods. Buying luxury when it is distressed would be appealing, and this is not a reason to short Bernard Arnault, but a 30 P/E is hard to accept. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Ferrari's selloff over an unpopular new design is overblown because its value rests on brand and scarcity, not looks. It is an irreplaceable business. The Middle East, over a third of its business, should return once the Strait of Hormuz reopens, adding to demand from Korea, Taiwan, China and India, though Ferrari will still ship only about 16,000-17,000 cars this year by design. x.com 

Ferrari is a compounder with a premium brand, elite margins, scarcity and pricing power, and its EPS is expected to nearly double by 2028. The chart has built a six-month Stage 1 base, reclaimed the 200-day moving average and is knocking on breakout levels. Per @TLAMB91, large dark pool prints and supportive options flow have shown up lately. x.com  x.com 

Ferrari remains expensive because bulls ignored its capitalized R&D, overstating free cash flow. At the peak the stock traded near a 1% FCF yield, and dividends plus buybacks only ever covered about half the quoted FCF, leaving some €400M unexplained. Even at about 25x FCF it would be only cheap-ish when TransDigm or Moody's, growing 6-8% for years, trade at 25-30x, and Ferrari is still materially above that despite a 43% drawdown, its largest ever, per @Fiscal_ai. x.com  x.com  x.com 

The listed mega-yacht value chain is a long-term opportunity because mega yachts have more than quadrupled in number in ten years and the drivers should persist. Social media normalizes yachting, tech wealth makes buyers younger, and charter infrastructure has matured; AI should create even more wealth. Builder Sanlorenzo has a huge backlog and MarineMax profits from selling and chartering yachts. These names trade around 10x earnings, far below Hermes despite arguably comparable brand loyalty. … Show more