Tesla trades at about 200x forward earnings, a bubble valuation that stands out against the rest of the Magnificent Seven, which per @DividendTalks now trade at 20-29x. x.comÂ
Jimmy Investor
Former Equity Analyst
Tesla trades in another universe among the Magnificent 7, at 190x forward earnings and a 7.0x PEG. By comparison, Nvidia looks expensive at 25x but is the cheapest on PEG at 0.6x, with Meta, Amazon, Alphabet and Microsoft between 0.9x and 1.6x and Apple at 3.2x. x.comÂ
Tesla is the imposter in the Magnificent 7: a company with roughly 0% growth demanding about 400 times earnings. Even on forward estimates the P/E sits around 208, not the 73x cited by @des8253105, who blamed the trailing multiple on lost regulatory credits and tariff-related inventory writedowns. x.com x.com x.comÂ
The Magnificent Seven's growth, fortress balance sheets and central role in the AI buildout now come at multiples that finally make sense. They have barely bent when high-beta names lose 10% in a session; that resilience makes their valuations down here one of the better opportunities in this market. x.comÂ
Tesla's 200x earnings multiple asks too much of weak current results and speculative future products. Third-quarter revenue fell 0.4% year over year and EBIT missed estimates by 25%, despite gross-margin and cash-flow beats. Robotaxis, humanoids and other future plans may have appeal, but impressive parts of the business do not make the stock worth its current price. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Tesla's valuation is too stretched to justify buying now. Slava cites a 189x forward P/E, falling Q3 deliveries, a 1.4% operating margin and negative free cash flow; other investments look preferable. x.comÂ
The Magnificent Seven's recent weakness is a prime buying opportunity, because S&P 500 tech earnings forecasts have kept surging despite the war. The group has shown serious resilience through volatility, and the broader tech sector keeps proving its strength. x.comÂ
Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta and Microsoft are getting to the point of looking cheap, given their great free cash flows. x.comÂ
Tesla's roughly 15x-sales valuation rests on a growth story while revenue is flat. A similar flat-revenue call in 2019 preceded a 20x stock run, but the current multiple still depends on that story delivering. x.comÂ
The Magnificent Seven will keep making investors rich and should consistently outperform the market, because they are super cheap relative to the S&P 500's P/E. The group covers Nvidia, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, Alphabet and Meta, along with the MAGS ETF that holds them. x.comÂ
Tesla's $1.5T Elon premium looks unjustified while Musk seems to favor SpaceX for the AI compute buildout. Tesla shareholders missed almost the entire AI boom; owning xAI and building that infrastructure might have doubled Tesla's stock. Q3 adjusted EPS was $0.48, down 4% year over year; if Tesla were a non-Musk company, four such quarters at 10x earnings would mean $19.20 a share versus $386. Long-term company prospects remain attractive, but the stock is still not worth buying back. x.com … Show more