Cloudflare is difficult to buy at about 30x EV/sales because a lot is already priced in, even after a good quarter. Q1 revenue rose 34% to $640 million versus $623 million expected and EPS of $0.25 beat, with strong AI and agentic traction, but remaining performance obligations of $2.54 billion fell short of the roughly $2.61 billion expected. It also announced a 20% workforce reduction. x.com 

Cloudflare's 44x revenue valuation still does not make sense, despite its benefit from a network control point. Matthew Sigel reports that nearly every shopping site he tries blocks Instinct and Muse. x.com 

Cloudflare shares should keep rising as AI-agent traffic lifts demand for edge compute: Oppenheimer reports rising contract values and Workers adoption, with stronger Bot Management and API Shield attachment, and expects Q3 to beat guidance. x.com 

Cloudflare's valuation, about 28.5x EV/ARR and 453x run-rate GAAP EBIT, leaves little room for its competitive risks. Its SASE and developer-platform businesses face Zscaler, Palo Alto and hyperscalers with far bigger budgets, and OpenAI and Anthropic may keep inference on their own backends. The bull case is crisp and arguably priced in: bot security and edge workloads matter more as agents spread, growth sped up from 27% to 34%, and weekly agent requests doubled in January. x.com 

Cloudflare's business outlook looks very bullish, but the stock needs to fall back below $200 before even a small position makes sense. Cloudflare sees a need for a payment processor that can handle millions or tens of millions of transactions per second to support microtransactions on the agentic web, and its recent fireside chat was very bullish. x.com  x.com 

Cloudflare's Workers adoption and AI-agent traffic growth support staying long for much longer, though the stock is expensive now. More than 10 million developers build on Workers, up from 7.4 million the prior quarter, while daily AI-agent requests on its network rose over 1,700% in a year. x.com 

Fastly's overall offering falls far short of Cloudflare's, and the market has already rewarded the strongest cybersecurity players. Fastly is a more modern CDN than Akamai and has some cybersecurity exposure. Buying is off the table for now, though if forced to buy one stock, Fastly would probably be the pick. x.com 

Cloudflare cannot justify a bullish view at a 10000x revenue valuation. x.com 

Cloudflare may be the strongest software play on agentic AI in the public markets. x.com 

Cloudflare at 38x NTM revenue and 150x NTM EBITDA is insane, so a decent return from here is unlikely even though it is the leader. That has never happened before without massive acceleration in growth rates and margin expansion. x.com