GrowthTurtle
Data Science PhD & IEEE Fellow, Ex-Two Sigma
UPS is cheap against its earnings, at 17x trailing and 12x next year's versus an industry norm of 19x. Fair value is $134.92-171.72, or 19x next year's forecast $8.07 EPS give or take 12%, leaving the stock about 30% under the low end. The case leans on that forecast, which is 50% above trailing earnings, and rests on valuation levels only, without fundamental work. x.comÂ
United Parcel Service offers attractive upside plus a dividend yield above 7%, making it a defensive diversifier as capital rotates out of crowded S&P 500 sectors. The stock has consolidated for months in a high-timeframe support range around $92, tilting risk-reward toward buyers. The 12-month target is $165, at high-timeframe resistance and the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci golden pocket, roughly 60% upside before dividends. x.com x.comÂ
UPS's post-earnings selloff is unjustified and should reverse quickly. It beat and reaffirmed guidance; revenue fell only because it ended its Amazon contract to generate more profit, which investors already knew. The selling was likely algorithm-driven. x.comÂ
United Parcel Service is listed fourth in a ten-part thread, with the argument contained in an attached image rather than the post text. x.comÂ
FedEx should get a good tailwind from falling oil after an excellent earnings report last week, making it a decent setup given the market. x.comÂ
