Bad macro conditions mean even Bloom Energy's strong growth is not enough for the stock right now. Wall St Engine reports Q3 revenue rose 138.1% year over year. x.comÂ
Burak Finance
Head of Analytics, Growth Investor, PLTR/NBIS/RKLB
Bloom Energy's data-center demand may be visible in supplier orders before Bloom announces it. LS Electric booked a $139 million switchgear and transformer order tied to a Bloom fuel-cell project at a big-tech Pennsylvania data center, for delivery in April-July 2027. Bloom is one of the best AI power stocks to own, though it could go lower. x.com x.comÂ
Bloom Energy's demand may not become revenue when customers struggle to secure financing. Capital is difficult to raise in this climate; a reading of management's AI discussion also points to permitting, local opposition and customer credit as obstacles despite robust demand. Even after good earnings, the shares did not look very bullish. x.com x.comÂ
Bloom Energy's revenue is growing faster than cash collection. Q3 sales reached $1.24bn and the 2026 guide rose to $4.4-4.6bn, yet operating cash flow was -$27m despite $309m from customer deposits and deferred revenue. Contract assets rose $430m in the quarter and from $241m to $859m year to date. Its largest customer fell to 43% of revenue, but the second, at 26%, is a related party. Management calls the cash gap billing timing; Q4 cash flow tests that explanation. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Bloom Energy's third beat-and-raise this year makes its selloff look driven by market fear rather than deteriorating business results. A similar sentiment-driven decline after strong results in July marked a bottom before the stock doubled; the setup looks similar now. x.comÂ
Vertiv's growth and cash flow make its valuation the better risk/reward than Bloom Energy at these prices. It is the one I'd buy first for a long-term hold: 23x next year's earnings with 37% EPS growth, nearly $3B in free cash flow and almost no net debt. Adjusted operating profit of $1.087B topped the $938M guidance ceiling; revenue and EPS also beat estimates. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy is a great business priced as if it can't miss, at roughly 22x sales, so it now has to grow into its multiple. Per @StockSavvyShay, product revenue more than tripled in a year as Bloom's fuel cells deploy onsite in months versus nearly five years for grid interconnection. But crushing earnings and growing into a multiple are two very different problems, and the stock had already nearly halved from its June high going into the report. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy looks more appealing after beating earnings estimates by a wide margin while trading at about 55 times earnings near $200. The market paid $350 in June, but the company now earns far more than expected despite a 33% share-price drawdown. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy is obviously way overvalued even on the most bullish 2030 estimates. It trades at 28x 2030 EV/FCF, a 3.6% yield against a 5.2% 10-year Treasury, and the stock is double topping. Recent index inclusion is helping hold it up. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy has become a meme stock, worth around $150 with the rest of its price just mania. It is off the watchlist in favor of two names that are getting cheaper and are not AI bubble stocks. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy's repeated revenue and EBITDA beats suggest its pullback will give way to another run soon. It raised 2026 guidance for the third time. Morgan Stanley raised its target to $335 and says Bloom targets revenue growth well above 100%, with backlog growing faster than sales and a path to more than 5 GW of capacity. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy is a flows story masquerading as fundamentals, and the Russell rebalance is an identifiable catalyst within a month. At about 4% of the Russell, it faces heavy selling when it gets kicked out of the small-cap index. Its roughly $100 billion valuation needs a $30 billion revenue run rate, which won't happen, and it will trade with a group seeing peak order growth while the AI trade looks over for a while. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ